Southern Illinois

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

65.2%Southern Illinois

34.8%Indiana State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouthern Illinois -2.7

PROJECTED TOTAL146.2

MODEL MONEYLINESouthern Illinois -187

Indiana State

11-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouthern Illinois 74

Projected Total146.2

Projected ScoreIndiana State 72

Team Comparison

Southern IllinoisMetricIndiana State

54.6MMH Power Index44.4

103.4Offensive Efficiency104.7

98.5Defensive Efficiency106.0

4.9Net Efficiency-1.3

1.6Strength of Schedule0.1

7.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.2

70.6Tempo70.3

49.5%Effective FG%53.6%

17.0%Turnover Rate19.5%

31.1%Offensive Rebound %27.3%

32.3%Free Throw Rate28.8%

3.4Average Margin-0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Southern Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouthern Illinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.6–44.4), defensive efficiency (98.5–106.0), net efficiency (4.9–-1.3), strength of schedule (1.6–0.1).

Indiana State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (104.7–103.4), shooting efficiency (53.6–49.5).

Final

Southern Illinois

80—65

Indiana State

Southern Illinois by 15 • 74.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Southern IllinoisTEAM STATIndiana State

33-71FG24-58

46.0%FG%41.0%

5-163PT7-25

31.0%3PT%28.0%

9-13FT10-15

69.0%FT%67.0%

43Rebounds34

14Offensive Rebounds8

15Assists18

12Turnovers17

11Steals9

5Blocks5

16Fouls15

Player Box Score

Southern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Quel'Ron House	G	40	6-16	0-3	2-2	3	5	1	1	14
Rolyns Aligbe	F	30	5-14	2-4	1-1	16	1	1	1	13
Davion Sykes	G	21	5-8	0-0	3-4	7	0	1	1	13
Drew Steffe	G	31	5-8	2-4	0-1	1	2	2	0	12
Jalen Haynes	G	27	5-8	0-1	2-4	2	2	2	0	12
Damien Mayo Jr.	G	22	3-8	1-4	1-1	4	4	1	0	8
Prince Aligbe	F	19	2-7	0-0	0-0	6	1	3	0	4
Jaheem Webber	C	10	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	2	4

Indiana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bruno Alocen	G	23	6-9	3-6	2-3	1	0	2	0	17
Ian Scott	F	33	5-7	0-0	3-3	9	3	2	2	13
Camp Wagner	G	27	4-10	3-6	0-0	4	1	0	1	11
Sterling Young	G	24	3-10	0-4	2-3	1	3	1	0	8
Enel St. Bernard	F	18	2-4	0-0	3-5	6	3	1	1	7
Cooper Bean	G	11	2-4	1-3	0-0	0	3	1	0	5
Markus Harding	C	28	2-4	0-2	0-1	6	0	1	1	4
Xavier Hall	G	23	0-5	0-1	0-0	0	5	0	0	0
Jo Van Buggenhout	G	11	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Sivert Waerstad Nordheim	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Caden Huttenlocker	G	1	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.7Possessions74.7

107.1Offensive Efficiency87.0

87.0Defensive Efficiency107.1

20.1Net Efficiency-20.1

50.0%Effective FG%47.4%

51.8%True Shooting %49.9%

16.0%Turnover Rate22.9%

18.3%Free Throw Rate25.9%

22.5%3-Point Rate43.1%

1.25Assist / Turnover1.06

Game Summary

Southern Illinois won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 74.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.