Jackson State

12-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

19.8%Jackson State

80.2%Arkansas-Pine Bluff

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas-Pine Bluff -10.7

PROJECTED TOTAL159.6

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas-Pine Bluff -405

Arkansas-Pine Bluff

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreJackson State 74

Projected Total159.6

Projected ScoreArkansas-Pine Bluff 85

Team Comparison

Jackson StateMetricArkansas-Pine Bluff

30.7MMH Power Index38.7

98.1Offensive Efficiency106.4

117.0Defensive Efficiency111.6

-18.9Net Efficiency-5.2

-0.7Strength of Schedule-6.0

-6.3Last 10 Net Efficiency1.3

71.6Tempo72.6

45.8%Effective FG%51.4%

19.4%Turnover Rate18.5%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %29.3%

37.9%Free Throw Rate37.7%

-13.5Average Margin-3.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas-Pine Bluff HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas-Pine Bluff holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (38.7–30.7), offensive efficiency (106.4–98.1), defensive efficiency (111.6–117.0), net efficiency (-5.2–-18.9).

Jackson State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.7–-6.0), offensive rebounding (29.6–29.3), free throw rate (37.9–37.7).

Final

Jackson State

63—84

Arkansas-Pine Bluff

Arkansas-Pine Bluff by 21 • 65.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Jackson StateTEAM STATArkansas-Pine Bluff

23-63FG29-57

37.0%FG%51.0%

7-273PT9-20

26.0%3PT%45.0%

10-15FT17-21

67.0%FT%81.0%

37Rebounds36

16Offensive Rebounds9

9Assists16

12Turnovers7

5Steals6

2Blocks4

15Fouls12

Player Box Score

Jackson State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dorian McMillian	G	36	9-21	4-11	2-3	4	1	0	0	24
Jayme Mitchell Jr.	G	36	4-14	0-4	5-6	8	3	2	0	13
Tamarion Hoover	G	22	4-11	2-8	2-2	5	0	1	0	12
Dionjahe Thomas	F	26	3-6	0-0	0-2	4	0	0	0	6
Devin Ree	F	22	2-4	1-3	0-0	2	0	0	1	5
Ebo Wilson	C	8	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Deyan Kolev	F	10	0-0	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	1	1
Raevon Thomas	F	21	0-2	0-1	0-0	5	3	0	0	0
Delyle Williams	G	12	0-3	0-0	0-0	2	1	2	0	0
Kobe Butler	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Arkansas-Pine Bluff

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Quion Williams	G	33	9-19	1-3	6-9	10	6	1	1	25
Jaquan Scott	F	27	7-10	0-0	4-4	8	1	0	0	18
Trevon Payton	G	32	5-6	3-3	0-0	3	1	2	1	13
Alex Mirhosseini	G	28	4-6	3-5	0-0	2	5	2	1	11
Milhan Charles	G	30	2-3	0-0	5-6	7	1	0	0	9
Ramel Lloyd Jr.	G	20	1-7	1-4	2-2	2	0	1	0	5
Ahmad Johnson	G	15	1-6	1-5	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Dennis Asoro	F	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Kyle Brown	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Anthony Sellars	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.6Possessions65.6

96.0Offensive Efficiency128.0

128.0Defensive Efficiency96.0

-32.0Net Efficiency32.0

42.1%Effective FG%58.8%

44.9%True Shooting %62.7%

18.1%Turnover Rate10.8%

23.8%Free Throw Rate36.8%

42.9%3-Point Rate35.1%

0.75Assist / Turnover2.29

Game Summary

Arkansas-Pine Bluff won by 21 points. The game played at approximately 65.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.