Northwestern State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

30.6%Northwestern State

69.4%Lamar

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLamar -6.9

PROJECTED TOTAL136.2

MODEL MONEYLINELamar -227

Lamar

12-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthwestern State 65

Projected Total136.2

Projected ScoreLamar 72

Team Comparison

Northwestern StateMetricLamar

41.3MMH Power Index44.1

104.0Offensive Efficiency105.0

109.0Defensive Efficiency103.8

-5.0Net Efficiency1.2

-1.6Strength of Schedule-3.0

-4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.2

63.6Tempo66.6

49.5%Effective FG%48.8%

17.6%Turnover Rate18.0%

27.1%Offensive Rebound %35.5%

41.2%Free Throw Rate28.5%

-3.2Average Margin0.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Lamar HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLamar holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.1–41.3), offensive efficiency (105.0–104.0), defensive efficiency (103.8–109.0), net efficiency (1.2–-5.0).

Northwestern State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.6–-3.0), recent form (-4.9–-8.2), shooting efficiency (49.5–48.8).

Final

Northwestern State

70—68

Lamar

Northwestern State by 2 • 66.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northwestern StateTEAM STATLamar

25-56FG23-56

45.0%FG%41.0%

7-183PT6-16

39.0%3PT%38.0%

13-20FT16-22

65.0%FT%73.0%

32Rebounds40

8Offensive Rebounds11

19Assists13

8Turnovers11

9Steals3

6Blocks3

14Fouls19

Player Box Score

Northwestern State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Micah Thomas	G	32	3-14	1-4	7-9	1	4	1	0	14
Willie Williams	F	31	7-8	0-0	0-0	10	3	3	3	14
CJ Larry	PG	30	4-8	2-2	1-1	4	6	1	0	11
Izzy Miles	G	30	3-8	0-2	3-4	5	2	1	0	9
Chris Mubiru	G	30	3-6	2-4	0-0	1	2	1	3	8
Landyn Jumawan	G	27	2-6	2-6	1-2	4	1	1	0	7
Kordrick Turner	F	7	2-3	0-0	1-4	2	0	1	0	5
J.C. Riley Jr.	C	8	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Chip Brunt	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Lamar

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Rob Lee Jr.	G	29	6-14	3-5	3-5	4	2	1	0	18
Andrew Holifield	F	29	5-8	1-3	6-7	4	2	2	0	17
Braden East	F	28	4-11	0-1	2-2	12	1	0	0	10
Errol White	F	22	2-5	0-0	5-6	3	0	0	1	9
Eian Lowe	G	21	2-5	0-2	0-0	1	4	0	0	4
King-Njhsanni Wilhite	G	19	1-3	1-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Jayden Gambrell	G	14	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Cody Pennebaker	G	20	1-6	0-1	0-0	4	1	0	0	2
Janko Bulajic	C	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	1	2
B.B. Knight	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Spencer Ezewiro	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-2	3	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.0Possessions66.0

106.1Offensive Efficiency103.0

103.0Defensive Efficiency106.1

3.0Net Efficiency-3.0

50.9%Effective FG%46.4%

53.4%True Shooting %51.2%

12.2%Turnover Rate16.6%

35.7%Free Throw Rate39.3%

32.1%3-Point Rate28.6%

2.38Assist / Turnover1.18

Game Summary

Northwestern State won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 66.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.