Valparaiso

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

47.0%Valparaiso

53.0%Drake

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDrake -2.1

PROJECTED TOTAL147.8

MODEL MONEYLINEDrake -113

Drake

14-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreValparaiso 73

Projected Total147.8

Projected ScoreDrake 75

Team Comparison

ValparaisoMetricDrake

49.9MMH Power Index46.4

106.6Offensive Efficiency109.5

105.8Defensive Efficiency109.1

0.8Net Efficiency0.4

0.3Strength of Schedule0.3

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.3

67.5Tempo68.6

48.7%Effective FG%52.2%

15.6%Turnover Rate14.9%

32.4%Offensive Rebound %27.2%

40.0%Free Throw Rate34.4%

0.5Average Margin0.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Valparaiso HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMValparaiso holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.9–46.4), defensive efficiency (105.8–109.1), net efficiency (0.8–0.4), recent form (-0.1–-11.3).

Drake COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (109.5–106.6), shooting efficiency (52.2–48.7), ball security (14.9–15.6).

Final

Valparaiso

81—76

Drake

Valparaiso by 5 • 66.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ValparaisoTEAM STATDrake

27-54FG30-69

50.0%FG%43.0%

9-223PT7-27

41.0%3PT%26.0%

18-27FT9-14

67.0%FT%64.0%

42Rebounds34

12Offensive Rebounds14

11Assists8

11Turnovers6

3Steals4

2Blocks3

17Fouls22

Player Box Score

Valparaiso

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
JT Pettigrew	F	35	8-11	1-3	6-9	12	2	1	2	23
Rakim Chaney	G	33	7-11	5-8	1-2	6	1	1	0	20
Brody Whitaker	G	28	3-5	1-3	6-8	1	2	0	0	13
Owen Dease	F	29	4-12	2-6	0-0	0	2	1	0	10
Shon Tupuola	C	20	3-4	0-0	0-0	5	3	0	0	6
Justus McNair	G	23	1-7	0-0	2-2	5	0	0	0	4
Carter Hopoi	F	22	1-2	0-1	1-4	3	0	0	0	3
Sader Servilus	G	9	0-2	0-1	2-2	7	1	0	0	2
Kyonte Thomas	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Drake

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Quinn	G	37	14-23	1-4	4-8	5	3	2	0	33
Eli Shetlar	G	35	5-10	5-9	0-0	2	1	0	0	15
Isaiah Carr	F	26	5-13	0-0	4-4	5	0	0	2	14
Andrew Alia	G	36	1-8	1-5	1-2	7	1	1	0	4
Owen Larson	G	28	2-8	0-5	0-0	2	1	1	0	4
Okku Federiko	F	19	2-4	0-2	0-0	6	1	0	1	4
Jaehshon Thomas	G	7	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Griffen Goodbary	F	12	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.8Possessions66.8

121.3Offensive Efficiency113.8

113.8Defensive Efficiency121.3

7.5Net Efficiency-7.5

58.3%Effective FG%48.6%

60.6%True Shooting %50.2%

16.7%Turnover Rate8.9%

50.0%Free Throw Rate20.3%

40.7%3-Point Rate39.1%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

Valparaiso won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 66.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.