Alabama State

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

22.6%Alabama State

77.4%Southern

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouthern -9.1

PROJECTED TOTAL157.0

MODEL MONEYLINESouthern -342

Southern

17-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAlabama State 74

Projected Total157.0

Projected ScoreSouthern 83

Team Comparison

Alabama StateMetricSouthern

38MMH Power Index44.5

101.7Offensive Efficiency108.7

107.4Defensive Efficiency106.4

-5.7Net Efficiency2.3

-6.2Strength of Schedule-7.5

0.0Last 10 Net Efficiency2.0

71.9Tempo73.3

48.2%Effective FG%51.3%

18.2%Turnover Rate16.3%

32.6%Offensive Rebound %31.9%

35.8%Free Throw Rate40.3%

-4.1Average Margin1.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Southern HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY77.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouthern holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.5–38.0), offensive efficiency (108.7–101.7), defensive efficiency (106.4–107.4), net efficiency (2.3–-5.7).

Alabama State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-6.2–-7.5), offensive rebounding (32.6–31.9).

Final

Alabama State

68—69

Southern

Southern by 1 • 65.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Alabama StateTEAM STATSouthern

22-53FG22-57

42.0%FG%39.0%

9-223PT6-23

41.0%3PT%26.0%

15-23FT19-25

65.0%FT%76.0%

43Rebounds34

15Offensive Rebounds12

9Assists11

17Turnovers9

6Steals13

2Blocks8

19Fouls15

Player Box Score

Alabama State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Micah Simpson	G	34	7-17	2-7	3-6	4	4	0	1	19
Damarien Yates	G	20	5-8	3-5	2-3	7	0	1	1	15
Tyler Mack	G	22	2-5	2-5	3-5	5	2	2	0	9
Cameron Palesse	G	34	2-5	0-0	4-5	6	3	0	0	8
Tyler Byrd	G	30	3-11	2-5	0-0	3	0	1	0	8
Jerquarius Stanback	F	27	2-5	0-0	3-4	8	0	0	0	7
R'Chaun King	F	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Mario Andrews	C	21	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	2	0	0
JaSteven Walker	F	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Southern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
DaMariee Jones	F	36	5-6	0-0	2-3	12	2	1	0	12
AJ Barnes	F	30	5-9	2-3	0-1	5	0	2	0	12
Michael Jacobs	G	38	2-15	0-5	7-8	5	6	2	0	11
Terrance Dixon Jr.	F	29	2-4	0-0	4-7	2	0	2	8	8
Cam Amboree	G	20	3-8	2-6	0-0	2	0	1	0	8
Fazl Oshodi	G	20	2-8	1-6	2-2	0	1	5	0	7
Brandon Hardy	G	17	2-4	0-1	2-2	5	1	0	0	6
Joe Manning	G	2	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Ashton Magee	F	5	0-1	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Puoch Dobuol	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.9Possessions65.9

103.2Offensive Efficiency104.7

104.7Defensive Efficiency103.2

-1.5Net Efficiency1.5

50.0%Effective FG%43.9%

53.2%True Shooting %50.1%

25.8%Turnover Rate13.7%

43.4%Free Throw Rate43.9%

41.5%3-Point Rate40.4%

0.53Assist / Turnover1.22

Game Summary

Southern won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 65.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.