Illinois State

23-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

88.3%Illinois State

11.7%Evansville

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois State -12.3

PROJECTED TOTAL143.6

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois State -755

Evansville

7-25

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIllinois State 78

Projected Total143.6

Projected ScoreEvansville 66

Team Comparison

Illinois StateMetricEvansville

54.3MMH Power Index31.6

110.6Offensive Efficiency98.5

101.4Defensive Efficiency112.4

9.2Net Efficiency-13.9

1.0Strength of Schedule1.8

-4.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-23.0

67.5Tempo68.0

54.3%Effective FG%50.0%

16.8%Turnover Rate18.9%

28.3%Offensive Rebound %22.2%

32.0%Free Throw Rate30.8%

6.2Average Margin-9.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY88.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.3–31.6), offensive efficiency (110.6–98.5), defensive efficiency (101.4–112.4), net efficiency (9.2–-13.9).

Evansville COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.8–1.0).

Final

Illinois State

80—88

Evansville

Evansville by 8 • 66.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Illinois StateTEAM STATEvansville

29-59FG29-51

49.0%FG%57.0%

12-293PT14-21

41.0%3PT%67.0%

10-14FT16-19

71.0%FT%84.0%

27Rebounds28

5Offensive Rebounds2

21Assists15

7Turnovers7

5Steals4

—Blocks8

15Fouls12

Player Box Score

Illinois State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Landon Moore	G	23	5-6	3-4	3-3	1	1	1	16
Ty'Reek Coleman	G	20	5-10	2-5	2-4	3	1	0	14
Landon Wolf	G	33	4-9	3-7	0-0	9	1	1	11
Boden Skunberg	G	25	4-6	1-1	2-3	2	1	1	11
Johnny Kinziger	G	33	2-6	2-5	2-2	1	8	1	8
Ty Pence	G	19	3-7	1-4	1-2	3	4	0	8
Chase Walker	F	16	3-6	0-0	0-0	3	4	0	6
Brandon Lieb	F	6	2-3	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	4
Mason Klabo	G	17	1-4	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	2
Jack Daugherty	F	4	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0
Cameron Barnes	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0

Evansville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
AJ Casey	F	33	10-15	3-5	5-7	5	3	2	2	28
Bryce Quinet	G	38	6-11	1-1	4-5	2	2	0	0	17
Leif Moeller	G	40	6-12	4-5	0-0	10	8	0	2	16
Kaia Berridge	G	19	4-5	4-5	2-2	2	0	1	0	14
Alex Hemenway	G	27	2-5	2-4	3-3	0	2	0	0	9
Joshua Hughes	F	26	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	4	2
Trent Hundley	F	17	0-2	0-1	2-2	3	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

66.4Possessions66.4

120.5Offensive Efficiency132.5

132.5Defensive Efficiency120.5

-12.0Net Efficiency12.0

59.3%Effective FG%70.6%

60.9%True Shooting %73.3%

10.3%Turnover Rate10.8%

23.7%Free Throw Rate37.3%

49.2%3-Point Rate41.2%

3.00Assist / Turnover2.14

Game Summary

Evansville won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 66.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.