Northern Iowa

23-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

57.8%Northern Iowa

42.2%Murray State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Iowa -1.0

PROJECTED TOTAL148.2

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Iowa -137

Murray State

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Iowa 75

Projected Total148.2

Projected ScoreMurray State 74

Team Comparison

Northern IowaMetricMurray State

61MMH Power Index53.6

108.4Offensive Efficiency115.0

96.4Defensive Efficiency111.0

12.0Net Efficiency4.0

2.2Strength of Schedule3.5

13.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.5

64.1Tempo72.3

54.6%Effective FG%54.0%

14.4%Turnover Rate16.3%

21.9%Offensive Rebound %32.7%

26.2%Free Throw Rate39.1%

7.7Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Iowa HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Iowa holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.0–53.6), defensive efficiency (96.4–111.0), net efficiency (12.0–4.0), recent form (13.9–-9.5).

Murray State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (115.0–108.4), strength of schedule (3.5–2.2), offensive rebounding (32.7–21.9).

Final

Northern Iowa

89—60

Murray State

Northern Iowa by 29 • 65.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern IowaTEAM STATMurray State

40-66FG24-61

61.0%FG%39.0%

7-173PT5-25

41.0%3PT%20.0%

2-2FT7-10

100.0%FT%70.0%

38Rebounds25

9Offensive Rebounds8

15Assists6

6Turnovers9

4Steals5

4Blocks4

13Fouls6

Player Box Score

Northern Iowa

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trey Campbell	G	35	10-13	2-4	0-0	5	6	0	0	22
Leon Bond III	F	33	8-16	3-6	0-0	2	0	2	0	19
Will Hornseth	F	29	8-13	0-1	0-0	7	1	0	2	16
Tristan Smith	F	21	6-10	1-1	0-0	9	0	0	1	13
Ben Schwieger	F	25	4-7	0-1	2-2	3	2	2	0	10
Ismael Diouf	F	6	2-3	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	4
Kyle Pock	F	5	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
RJ Taylor	G	8	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Max Weisbrod	G	29	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	5	0	1	0
Geon Hutchins	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Chase Courbat	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Hunter Jacobson	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Murray State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Fred King	C	28	5-10	1-1	3-5	8	1	1	3	14
KJ Tenner	G	24	5-7	1-2	2-2	1	2	1	0	13
Roman Domon	G	31	5-12	2-5	0-0	3	2	1	0	12
Javon Jackson	G	24	5-11	0-4	1-2	2	0	0	0	11
Mathis Courbon	G	17	2-5	1-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Mason Miller	F	16	1-2	0-1	1-1	1	0	1	1	3
Layne Taylor	G	18	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
JJ Traynor	F	18	0-4	0-2	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Brayden Shorter	G	16	0-6	0-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Brock Vice	F	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Dylan Anderson	C	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.4Possessions65.4

136.1Offensive Efficiency91.7

91.7Defensive Efficiency136.1

44.3Net Efficiency-44.3

65.9%Effective FG%43.4%

66.5%True Shooting %45.6%

9.4%Turnover Rate13.5%

3.0%Free Throw Rate16.4%

25.8%3-Point Rate41.0%

2.50Assist / Turnover0.67

Game Summary

Northern Iowa won by 29 points. The game played at approximately 65.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.