Colorado State

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

95.7%Colorado State

4.3%Air Force

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADColorado State -18.7

PROJECTED TOTAL144.9

MODEL MONEYLINEColorado State -2226

Air Force

3-29

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreColorado State 82

Projected Total144.9

Projected ScoreAir Force 63

Team Comparison

Colorado StateMetricAir Force

55.4MMH Power Index23

117.1Offensive Efficiency91.3

109.9Defensive Efficiency118.5

7.2Net Efficiency-27.2

0.4Strength of Schedule6.2

4.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-33.5

64.7Tempo67.4

58.6%Effective FG%49.0%

18.3%Turnover Rate21.9%

29.2%Offensive Rebound %21.4%

41.2%Free Throw Rate35.9%

4.6Average Margin-18.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Colorado State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY95.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMColorado State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–23.0), offensive efficiency (117.1–91.3), defensive efficiency (109.9–118.5), net efficiency (7.2–-27.2).

Air Force COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.2–0.4).

Final

Colorado State

91—74

Air Force

Colorado State by 17 • 65.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Colorado StateTEAM STATAir Force

24-44FG26-47

55.0%FG%55.0%

14-263PT12-21

54.0%3PT%57.0%

29-36FT10-22

81.0%FT%45.0%

26Rebounds25

3Offensive Rebounds6

17Assists19

8Turnovers13

7Steals4

1Blocks2

20Fouls27

Player Box Score

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brandon Rechsteiner	G	23	5-6	2-3	2-2	2	4	2	0	14
Kyle Jorgensen	F	26	5-10	2-5	1-2	1	3	1	0	13
Carey Booth	F	23	4-9	3-6	1-2	5	1	1	1	12
Jevin Muniz	G	21	3-5	3-4	3-4	1	1	0	0	12
Augustinas Kiudulas	F	12	3-4	2-2	4-5	1	0	0	0	12
Rashaan Mbemba	F	16	0-1	0-0	9-10	4	0	0	0	9
Josh Pascarelli	G	25	2-6	1-5	3-4	4	3	2	0	8
Jase Butler	G	30	1-2	1-1	2-2	2	3	0	0	5
Jojo McIver	G	17	1-1	0-0	3-3	4	2	1	0	5
Nikola Djapa	C	3	0-0	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Darnez Slater	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jon Mekonnen	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Air Force

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Lucas Hobin	F	31	6-11	5-9	0-1	0	1	0	0	17
Kam Sanders	G	27	5-7	3-3	4-4	3	6	0	0	17
Ethan Greenberg	G	26	4-7	2-4	0-0	0	1	1	0	10
Caleb Walker	F	20	3-6	0-0	3-8	7	2	0	0	9
Eli Robinson	F	21	3-6	1-2	1-3	8	3	1	0	8
Kolby Gilles	F	9	2-3	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Riley Dering	F	17	2-3	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	2	4
Wesley Celichowski	C	23	1-2	0-0	1-2	1	3	1	0	3
Justin Hinds	G	12	0-1	0-1	1-2	0	2	0	0	1
A.J. Patterson	G	12	0-0	0-0	0-2	1	1	0	0	0
Brendan Martin	F	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.3Possessions65.3

139.4Offensive Efficiency113.3

113.3Defensive Efficiency139.4

26.0Net Efficiency-26.0

70.5%Effective FG%68.1%

74.5%True Shooting %64.4%

12.1%Turnover Rate20.2%

81.8%Free Throw Rate46.8%

59.1%3-Point Rate44.7%

2.13Assist / Turnover1.46

Game Summary

Colorado State won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 65.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.