Virginia

30-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

65.2%Virginia

34.8%Florida State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVirginia -4.0

PROJECTED TOTAL156.7

MODEL MONEYLINEVirginia -187

Florida State

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVirginia 80

Projected Total156.7

Projected ScoreFlorida State 76

Team Comparison

VirginiaMetricFlorida State

68.9MMH Power Index58.7

119.0Offensive Efficiency111.9

101.8Defensive Efficiency108.5

17.2Net Efficiency3.4

5.2Strength of Schedule5.7

6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency7.6

67.6Tempo71.8

55.0%Effective FG%52.4%

16.0%Turnover Rate15.2%

37.4%Offensive Rebound %30.3%

33.2%Free Throw Rate35.2%

11.6Average Margin2.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Virginia HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVirginia holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (68.9–58.7), offensive efficiency (119.0–111.9), defensive efficiency (101.8–108.5), net efficiency (17.2–3.4).

Florida State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.7–5.2), recent form (7.6–6.4), ball security (15.2–16.0).

Final

Virginia

61—58

Florida State

Virginia by 3 • 68.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VirginiaTEAM STATFlorida State

23-61FG18-62

38.0%FG%29.0%

10-333PT6-33

30.0%3PT%18.0%

5-8FT16-22

63.0%FT%73.0%

47Rebounds37

12Offensive Rebounds11

14Assists8

14Turnovers8

4Steals7

5Blocks5

16Fouls14

Player Box Score

Virginia

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jacari White	G	21	7-11	5-9	0-0	4	2	0	0	19
Thijs De Ridder	F	28	3-9	0-2	3-4	9	1	2	1	9
Sam Lewis	G	21	3-9	1-5	2-4	2	2	0	1	9
Chance Mallory	G	27	3-7	1-4	0-0	2	5	0	0	7
Johann Grunloh	C	15	2-4	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	5
Ugonna Onyenso	C	24	2-3	0-0	0-0	7	0	1	3	4
Dallin Hall	G	30	1-5	1-4	0-0	4	3	0	0	3
Malik Thomas	G	19	1-7	1-6	0-0	5	1	1	0	3
Devin Tillis	F	14	1-6	0-2	0-0	7	0	0	0	2
Martin Carrere	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Florida State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Lajae Jones	G	34	6-15	4-9	5-8	13	0	2	0	21
Robert McCray V	G	29	6-16	2-6	6-7	4	4	2	3	20
Kobe MaGee	G	20	3-5	0-2	3-3	4	0	0	0	9
Alex Steen	F	22	2-4	0-0	1-2	5	1	0	0	5
Chauncey Wiggins	F	30	1-6	0-4	0-0	2	0	0	1	2
AJ Swinton	F	19	0-6	0-6	1-2	1	0	2	1	1
Martin Somerville	G	24	0-7	0-5	0-0	3	3	0	0	0
Thomas Bassong	F	22	0-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.2Possessions68.2

89.4Offensive Efficiency85.0

85.0Defensive Efficiency89.4

4.4Net Efficiency-4.4

45.9%Effective FG%33.9%

47.1%True Shooting %40.0%

21.0%Turnover Rate11.5%

13.1%Free Throw Rate35.5%

54.1%3-Point Rate53.2%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Virginia won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 68.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.