Marquette

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.4%Marquette

78.6%Villanova

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVillanova -9.8

PROJECTED TOTAL151.7

MODEL MONEYLINEVillanova -367

Villanova

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMarquette 71

Projected Total151.7

Projected ScoreVillanova 81

Team Comparison

MarquetteMetricVillanova

52.3MMH Power Index59.4

106.0Offensive Efficiency114.7

106.9Defensive Efficiency105.9

-0.9Net Efficiency8.8

4.2Strength of Schedule4.4

3.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.1

70.9Tempo67.3

50.5%Effective FG%53.9%

16.0%Turnover Rate15.0%

29.3%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

33.8%Free Throw Rate31.4%

-0.6Average Margin5.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Villanova HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVillanova holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.4–52.3), offensive efficiency (114.7–106.0), defensive efficiency (105.9–106.9), net efficiency (8.8–-0.9).

Marquette COUNTERS WITHrecent form (3.5–-1.1), free throw rate (33.8–31.4).

Final

Marquette

74—77

Villanova

Villanova by 3 • 70.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MarquetteTEAM STATVillanova

24-49FG23-59

49.0%FG%39.0%

8-233PT13-34

35.0%3PT%38.0%

18-20FT18-31

90.0%FT%58.0%

32Rebounds36

5Offensive Rebounds17

15Assists17

18Turnovers12

7Steals13

4Blocks2

22Fouls17

Player Box Score

Marquette

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Royce Parham	F	37	8-9	1-1	9-10	11	0	1	2	26
Adrien Stevens	G	34	5-11	4-10	4-4	1	2	2	0	18
Nigel James Jr.	G	32	4-10	0-1	1-2	4	6	1	0	9
Ben Gold	F	28	3-8	2-5	0-0	3	2	0	1	8
Chase Ross	G	29	1-2	1-2	4-4	2	3	2	0	7
Tre Norman	G	10	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	4
Damarius Owens	F	17	1-4	0-2	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
Michael Phillips II	F	6	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Caedin Hamilton	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Joshua Clark	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Villanova

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyler Perkins	G	34	7-16	5-9	3-4	8	3	2	1	22
Acaden Lewis	G	31	5-9	2-4	3-7	1	5	3	0	15
Matt Hodge	F	26	5-8	3-6	0-3	4	1	1	0	13
Duke Brennan	F	32	2-5	0-0	6-8	8	2	2	1	10
Malachi Palmer	G	19	2-5	1-4	0-1	0	0	0	0	5
Devin Askew	G	15	1-7	1-5	2-2	1	2	3	0	5
Bryce Lindsay	G	29	1-8	1-6	1-2	3	4	0	0	4
Chris Jeffrey	G	7	0-1	0-0	3-4	2	0	2	0	3
Braden Pierce	C	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.1Possessions70.1

105.6Offensive Efficiency109.8

109.8Defensive Efficiency105.6

-4.3Net Efficiency4.3

57.1%Effective FG%50.0%

63.2%True Shooting %52.2%

25.2%Turnover Rate17.5%

40.8%Free Throw Rate52.5%

46.9%3-Point Rate57.6%

0.83Assist / Turnover1.42

Game Summary

Villanova won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 70.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.