Fresno State

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

7.0%Fresno State

93.0%Utah State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUtah State -17.1

PROJECTED TOTAL151.1

MODEL MONEYLINEUtah State -1329

Utah State

29-7

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFresno State 67

Projected Total151.1

Projected ScoreUtah State 84

Team Comparison

Fresno StateMetricUtah State

47.1MMH Power Index65.7

104.9Offensive Efficiency119.7

104.9Defensive Efficiency103.1

0.0Net Efficiency16.6

1.5Strength of Schedule3.5

-6.0Last 10 Net Efficiency0.3

69.4Tempo68.6

51.3%Effective FG%56.9%

18.2%Turnover Rate15.1%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %33.0%

35.5%Free Throw Rate39.1%

0.0Average Margin11.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Utah State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY93.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUtah State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.7–47.1), offensive efficiency (119.7–104.9), defensive efficiency (103.1–104.9), net efficiency (16.6–0.0).

Final

Fresno State

78—91

Utah State

Utah State by 13 • 70.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Fresno StateTEAM STATUtah State

26-65FG31-61

40.0%FG%51.0%

8-293PT14-33

28.0%3PT%42.0%

18-23FT15-19

78.0%FT%79.0%

37Rebounds35

15Offensive Rebounds10

11Assists20

10Turnovers9

8Steals7

1Blocks3

16Fouls20

Player Box Score

Fresno State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
DeShawn Gory	F	35	8-17	1-6	4-4	8	5	1	1	21
Jake Heidbreder	G	32	5-10	3-8	6-6	3	1	1	0	19
Zaon Collins	G	29	3-11	0-2	1-1	2	4	4	0	7
Wilson Jacques	C	35	3-6	0-0	0-0	11	1	1	0	6
David Douglas Jr.	G	16	2-6	2-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
Gasper Kocevar	C	11	2-2	1-1	1-2	2	0	0	0	6
Bastien Rieber	G	13	1-3	0-1	3-4	3	0	1	0	5
Jac Mani	F	4	1-1	0-0	2-4	0	0	0	0	4
Cameron Faas	G	11	1-6	1-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Aram Soqui Urbano	G	9	0-1	0-1	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Makhan Diouf	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Matteo Porto	G	2	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Utah State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Elijah Perryman	G	19	5-6	4-5	2-2	3	7	0	0	16
Kolby King	G	31	4-11	3-9	3-3	7	3	1	0	14
MJ Collins Jr.	G	26	5-12	3-9	0-0	1	0	1	0	13
Zach Keller	F	22	4-4	2-2	1-2	0	1	0	1	11
Karson Templin	F	24	3-8	0-2	4-6	8	1	1	1	10
Mason Falslev	G	23	3-10	0-3	2-2	4	2	1	0	8
Drake Allen	G	21	3-4	0-0	2-2	2	4	3	0	8
Adlan Elamin	F	19	3-4	2-3	0-0	4	1	0	0	8
Garry Clark	F	15	1-2	0-0	1-2	2	1	0	1	3

Advanced Game Stats

70.0Possessions70.0

111.4Offensive Efficiency130.0

130.0Defensive Efficiency111.4

-18.6Net Efficiency18.6

46.2%Effective FG%62.3%

51.4%True Shooting %65.0%

14.1%Turnover Rate13.0%

35.4%Free Throw Rate31.1%

44.6%3-Point Rate54.1%

1.10Assist / Turnover2.22

Game Summary

Utah State won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 70.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.