USC

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

9.0%USC

91.0%Ohio State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADOhio State -14.3

PROJECTED TOTAL157.4

MODEL MONEYLINEOhio State -1011

Ohio State

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUSC 72

Projected Total157.4

Projected ScoreOhio State 86

Team Comparison

USCMetricOhio State

48.3MMH Power Index64.5

108.5Offensive Efficiency118.1

107.6Defensive Efficiency108.1

0.9Net Efficiency10.0

2.5Strength of Schedule6.4

-16.0Last 10 Net Efficiency6.3

72.4Tempo67.2

50.7%Effective FG%56.9%

17.2%Turnover Rate15.3%

33.2%Offensive Rebound %30.7%

45.3%Free Throw Rate38.3%

0.7Average Margin6.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Ohio State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMOhio State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.5–48.3), offensive efficiency (118.1–108.5), net efficiency (10.0–0.9), strength of schedule (6.4–2.5).

USC COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.6–108.1), offensive rebounding (33.2–30.7), free throw rate (45.3–38.3).

Final

USC

82—89

Ohio State

Ohio State by 7 • 73.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

USCTEAM STATOhio State

26-62FG29-58

42.0%FG%50.0%

6-173PT7-22

35.0%3PT%32.0%

24-33FT24-25

73.0%FT%96.0%

32Rebounds33

14Offensive Rebounds9

10Assists14

10Turnovers12

11Steals5

4Blocks3

21Fouls21

Player Box Score

USC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Alijah Arenas	G	36	6-19	1-7	12-16	4	3	3	0	25
Kam Woods	G	40	6-13	1-2	1-2	6	3	0	0	14
Ezra Ausar	F	34	4-11	0-0	5-6	9	2	4	0	13
Jordan Marsh	G	19	3-7	2-4	5-7	2	1	0	0	13
Jacob Cofie	F	38	5-9	2-4	0-0	4	1	2	2	12
Gabe Dynes	C	20	2-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	2	2	4
Terrance Williams II	F	11	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Ryan Cornish	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Ohio State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bruce Thornton	G	32	5-11	0-3	11-11	6	8	1	0	21
Devin Royal	F	35	8-11	0-3	3-3	7	1	2	0	19
John Mobley Jr.	G	32	4-10	2-7	3-3	3	2	0	0	13
Amare Bynum	F	30	5-12	1-3	0-0	3	1	1	1	11
Christoph Tilly	C	22	2-3	1-1	4-4	2	1	0	2	9
Puff Johnson	G	15	2-2	2-2	2-2	1	0	1	0	8
Taison Chatman	G	21	2-6	1-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	5
Gabe Cupps	G	6	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Ivan Njegovan	C	7	0-1	0-0	1-2	4	0	0	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

73.3Possessions73.3

111.9Offensive Efficiency121.4

121.4Defensive Efficiency111.9

-9.5Net Efficiency9.5

46.8%Effective FG%56.0%

52.8%True Shooting %63.7%

13.6%Turnover Rate16.5%

53.2%Free Throw Rate43.1%

27.4%3-Point Rate37.9%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.17

Game Summary

Ohio State won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 73.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, True Shooting %, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.