UTSA

5-25

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

11.4%UTSA

88.6%East Carolina

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADEast Carolina -13.2

PROJECTED TOTAL151.5

MODEL MONEYLINEEast Carolina -777

East Carolina

11-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUTSA 69

Projected Total151.5

Projected ScoreEast Carolina 82

Team Comparison

UTSAMetricEast Carolina

30.5MMH Power Index44.3

99.0Offensive Efficiency102.0

115.0Defensive Efficiency110.5

-16.0Net Efficiency-8.5

-1.2Strength of Schedule2.6

-17.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

70.2Tempo70.1

45.9%Effective FG%46.7%

17.0%Turnover Rate17.4%

30.9%Offensive Rebound %33.9%

29.9%Free Throw Rate40.2%

-11.3Average Margin-5.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

East Carolina HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY88.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMEast Carolina holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.3–30.5), offensive efficiency (102.0–99.0), defensive efficiency (110.5–115.0), net efficiency (-8.5–-16.0).

UTSA COUNTERS WITHball security (17.0–17.4).

Final

UTSA

72—88

East Carolina

East Carolina by 16 • 71.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UTSATEAM STATEast Carolina

27-73FG31-67

37.0%FG%46.0%

10-303PT8-30

33.0%3PT%27.0%

8-16FT18-20

50.0%FT%90.0%

43Rebounds45

19Offensive Rebounds14

16Assists18

10Turnovers8

5Steals5

2Blocks8

14Fouls14

Player Box Score

UTSA

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Daniel Akitoby	F	31	7-12	0-0	2-3	11	1	1	0	16
Brent Moss	G	36	5-16	5-14	0-0	3	1	2	1	15
Kaidon Rayfield	F	36	5-15	1-6	1-3	7	5	0	0	12
Jamir Simpson	G	38	4-16	1-5	2-2	5	4	1	0	11
LJ Brown	G	20	2-4	2-4	2-2	2	2	1	0	8
Matheo Coffi	F	21	2-3	1-1	1-2	5	2	0	1	6
Baboucarr Njie	F	17	2-7	0-0	0-4	4	1	0	0	4
Jackson Fazande	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

East Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Riley	G	36	5-14	0-4	9-10	6	4	1	1	19
Isaiah Mbeng	G	33	5-10	4-9	4-4	8	6	1	0	18
Demitri Gardner	G	23	6-14	3-9	0-0	5	1	0	0	15
Eli DeLaurier	F	23	6-8	1-3	0-0	3	0	0	2	13
Giovanni Emejuru	C	31	6-9	0-0	0-0	12	0	1	3	12
Corey Caulker	G	24	2-7	0-4	2-2	0	5	1	0	6
Reid Cason	F	7	1-1	0-0	1-2	4	1	0	2	3
Luke Davis	F	16	0-2	0-0	2-2	2	1	0	0	2
Vito Perkovic	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Paddy D'Arcy	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Ladontae Felton	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.1Possessions71.1

101.3Offensive Efficiency123.8

123.8Defensive Efficiency101.3

-22.5Net Efficiency22.5

43.8%Effective FG%52.2%

44.7%True Shooting %57.5%

14.0%Turnover Rate11.3%

21.9%Free Throw Rate29.9%

41.1%3-Point Rate44.8%

1.60Assist / Turnover2.25

Game Summary

East Carolina won by 16 points. The game played at approximately 71.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.