Buffalo

17-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

60.5%Buffalo

39.5%Ball State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBuffalo -1.3

PROJECTED TOTAL146.5

MODEL MONEYLINEBuffalo -153

Ball State

12-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBuffalo 74

Projected Total146.5

Projected ScoreBall State 73

Team Comparison

BuffaloMetricBall State

49.7MMH Power Index41.3

114.9Offensive Efficiency101.7

112.2Defensive Efficiency104.7

2.7Net Efficiency-3.0

0.0Strength of Schedule-3.9

-5.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.9

67.9Tempo66.4

56.1%Effective FG%48.3%

16.1%Turnover Rate16.0%

27.6%Offensive Rebound %26.5%

40.4%Free Throw Rate33.0%

1.8Average Margin-2.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Buffalo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBuffalo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.7–41.3), offensive efficiency (114.9–101.7), net efficiency (2.7–-3.0), strength of schedule (0.0–-3.9).

Ball State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.7–112.2), recent form (-0.9–-5.9), ball security (16.0–16.1).

Final

Buffalo

63—53

Ball State

Buffalo by 10 • 59.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BuffaloTEAM STATBall State

21-48FG19-54

44.0%FG%35.0%

6-193PT8-24

32.0%3PT%33.0%

15-17FT7-9

88.0%FT%78.0%

33Rebounds30

9Offensive Rebounds11

11Assists12

11Turnovers13

8Steals7

6Blocks1

12Fouls14

Player Box Score

Buffalo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tim Oboh	C	29	8-10	0-0	4-5	8	0	0	4	20
Angelo Brizzi	G	28	4-12	3-6	6-6	4	2	0	1	17
Ryan Sabol	G	38	4-14	2-8	2-2	5	5	1	0	12
Derrick Talton Jr.	G	38	2-4	0-1	2-2	2	2	3	0	6
Noah Batchelor	G	37	2-4	1-2	0-0	3	1	2	1	5
Ezra McKenna	F	11	1-2	0-1	0-0	4	1	0	0	2
Kyle Jones	G	17	0-1	0-0	1-2	4	0	2	0	1
Matas Buteliauskas	F	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Ball State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Davion Hill	G	29	6-15	1-5	1-2	4	0	0	0	14
Juwan Maxey	G	25	4-12	3-9	0-0	3	1	0	0	11
Devon Barnes	G	17	3-5	2-4	2-2	0	2	0	0	10
Armoni Zeigler	G	30	2-7	1-2	2-2	3	3	2	1	7
Kayden Fish	F	27	2-4	0-0	2-3	5	0	1	0	6
Elmore James IV	G	19	1-5	1-3	0-0	2	2	0	0	3
Preston Copeland	F	13	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
Mason Jones	F	32	0-2	0-1	0-0	4	3	3	0	0
Cam Denson	F	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

59.2Possessions59.2

106.4Offensive Efficiency89.5

89.5Defensive Efficiency106.4

16.9Net Efficiency-16.9

50.0%Effective FG%42.6%

56.2%True Shooting %45.5%

18.9%Turnover Rate21.6%

35.4%Free Throw Rate16.7%

39.6%3-Point Rate44.4%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.92

Game Summary

Buffalo won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 59.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.