Chattanooga

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

14.3%Chattanooga

85.7%East Tennessee State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADEast Tennessee State -12.5

PROJECTED TOTAL151.3

MODEL MONEYLINEEast Tennessee State -599

East Tennessee State

23-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreChattanooga 69

Projected Total151.3

Projected ScoreEast Tennessee State 82

Team Comparison

ChattanoogaMetricEast Tennessee State

45.9MMH Power Index57.4

112.7Offensive Efficiency115.1

110.5Defensive Efficiency102.8

2.2Net Efficiency12.3

-4.4Strength of Schedule-1.6

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency3.7

68.1Tempo67.4

55.1%Effective FG%55.4%

14.1%Turnover Rate15.1%

23.5%Offensive Rebound %28.8%

29.2%Free Throw Rate35.0%

1.4Average Margin8.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

East Tennessee State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY85.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMEast Tennessee State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.4–45.9), offensive efficiency (115.1–112.7), defensive efficiency (102.8–110.5), net efficiency (12.3–2.2).

Chattanooga COUNTERS WITHball security (14.1–15.1).

Final

Chattanooga

61—73

East Tennessee State

East Tennessee State by 12 • 66.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ChattanoogaTEAM STATEast Tennessee State

22-55FG21-54

40.0%FG%39.0%

7-243PT5-20

29.0%3PT%25.0%

10-12FT26-35

83.0%FT%74.0%

35Rebounds37

5Offensive Rebounds9

9Assists11

10Turnovers5

1Steals7

1Blocks4

24Fouls13

Player Box Score

Chattanooga

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Frison	G	36	6-12	2-3	1-2	6	5	0	0	15
Tate Darner	G	32	5-7	2-4	1-2	6	0	0	0	13
Brennan Watkins	G	34	3-6	2-4	3-3	1	0	1	0	11
Jikari Johnson	G	12	2-6	0-4	5-5	3	0	0	0	9
Collin Mulholland	F	18	3-9	1-2	0-0	3	2	0	0	7
Houston Holland	G	22	1-2	0-1	0-0	6	1	0	1	2
Makai Richards	C	19	1-3	0-0	0-0	6	1	0	0	2
Teddy Washington Jr.	G	7	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Billy Smith	G	15	0-6	0-5	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Josh Bowman	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Parker Robison	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

East Tennessee State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan McCullum	F	32	7-12	2-5	8-9	6	1	1	0	24
Cam Morris III	F	28	3-8	0-0	5-10	6	1	2	3	11
Blake Barkley	F	23	2-6	0-1	7-8	4	1	1	0	11
Maki Johnson	G	31	3-6	2-4	2-2	6	1	0	0	10
Brian Taylor II	G	27	3-6	0-1	2-4	3	4	0	0	8
Jaylen Smith	G	25	2-8	1-6	0-0	2	1	0	0	5
Allen Strothers	G	23	1-4	0-0	0-0	4	2	2	0	2
Milton Matthews III	G	11	0-4	0-3	2-2	2	0	1	1	2

Advanced Game Stats

66.2Possessions66.2

92.1Offensive Efficiency110.3

110.3Defensive Efficiency92.1

-18.1Net Efficiency18.1

46.4%Effective FG%43.5%

50.2%True Shooting %51.7%

15.2%Turnover Rate7.5%

21.8%Free Throw Rate64.8%

43.6%3-Point Rate37.0%

0.90Assist / Turnover2.20

Game Summary

East Tennessee State won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 66.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.