UL Monroe

4-28

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

2.9%UL Monroe

97.1%Arkansas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas State -23.6

PROJECTED TOTAL162.3

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas State -3348

Arkansas State

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUL Monroe 69

Projected Total162.3

Projected ScoreArkansas State 93

Team Comparison

UL MonroeMetricArkansas State

30.9MMH Power Index57.7

101.1Offensive Efficiency113.1

117.1Defensive Efficiency105.3

-16.0Net Efficiency7.8

-1.0Strength of Schedule-1.0

-16.2Last 10 Net Efficiency15.2

71.7Tempo73.3

48.1%Effective FG%52.7%

16.9%Turnover Rate19.4%

25.3%Offensive Rebound %38.1%

40.6%Free Throw Rate39.6%

-11.5Average Margin5.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY97.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.7–30.9), offensive efficiency (113.1–101.1), defensive efficiency (105.3–117.1), net efficiency (7.8–-16.0).

UL Monroe COUNTERS WITHball security (16.9–19.4), free throw rate (40.6–39.6).

Final

UL Monroe

70—103

Arkansas State

Arkansas State by 33 • 74.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UL MonroeTEAM STATArkansas State

22-60FG41-75

37.0%FG%55.0%

10-283PT13-32

36.0%3PT%41.0%

16-26FT8-16

62.0%FT%50.0%

29Rebounds54

10Offensive Rebounds20

8Assists23

12Turnovers11

7Steals9

4Blocks4

12Fouls22

Player Box Score

UL Monroe

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Krystian Lewis	G	39	10-18	7-13	5-6	4	1	2	0	32
Lavell Brodnex	G	34	6-13	2-4	6-9	7	0	1	0	20
MJ Russell	G	32	4-16	1-6	0-0	2	3	2	2	9
Dylan Diaz	G	18	1-3	0-2	2-4	4	1	1	0	4
Przemek Hartman	F	18	1-4	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Micah Caster	G	8	0-2	0-1	2-2	1	1	0	0	2
Alex Huguet Carrasco	G	4	0-0	0-0	1-4	1	0	0	0	1
Ayomide Bamisile	F	22	0-2	0-0	0-1	5	1	0	2	0
Alex Molofeev	G	20	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Wiggy Ball	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ajay Tew	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Arkansas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Christian Harmon	G	23	7-14	7-12	0-1	5	4	0	0	21
Chandler Jackson	G	17	6-7	0-0	2-4	4	6	1	0	14
Matt Hayman	G	22	5-10	3-5	0-0	5	2	2	0	13
Aly Tounkara	F	18	6-8	0-0	0-0	7	0	0	0	12
Joey Chammaa	G	20	3-6	0-2	4-6	4	1	1	1	10
TJ Caldwell	G	19	4-7	0-3	0-0	3	2	2	0	8
Chudi Dioramma	F	20	3-5	0-0	1-3	10	1	1	2	7
Jaxon Ellingsworth	F	20	3-7	1-4	0-0	2	1	0	0	7
Jalen Hampton	G	22	2-6	1-3	1-2	9	1	0	1	6
Royal Blue Smith	G	13	2-4	1-3	0-0	1	4	1	0	5
Fredy-Salam Sylla	G	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.0Possessions74.0

94.6Offensive Efficiency139.2

139.2Defensive Efficiency94.6

-44.6Net Efficiency44.6

45.0%Effective FG%63.3%

48.4%True Shooting %62.3%

16.1%Turnover Rate14.9%

43.3%Free Throw Rate21.3%

46.7%3-Point Rate42.7%

0.67Assist / Turnover2.09

Game Summary

Arkansas State won by 33 points. The game played at approximately 74.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.