App State

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

51.5%App State

48.5%Georgia Southern

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGeorgia Southern -0.1

PROJECTED TOTAL150.8

MODEL MONEYLINEApp State -106

Georgia Southern

21-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreApp State 75

Projected Total150.8

Projected ScoreGeorgia Southern 75

Team Comparison

App StateMetricGeorgia Southern

54.2MMH Power Index49.1

110.9Offensive Efficiency112.3

101.7Defensive Efficiency110.6

9.2Net Efficiency1.7

-4.2Strength of Schedule-2.2

7.0Last 10 Net Efficiency1.7

64.9Tempo72.0

51.1%Effective FG%52.1%

15.2%Turnover Rate14.5%

34.2%Offensive Rebound %28.6%

39.8%Free Throw Rate39.5%

6.0Average Margin1.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

App State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMApp State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–49.1), defensive efficiency (101.7–110.6), net efficiency (9.2–1.7), recent form (7.0–1.7).

Georgia Southern COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (112.3–110.9), strength of schedule (-2.2–-4.2), shooting efficiency (52.1–51.1).

Final

App State

81—65

Georgia Southern

App State by 16 • 66.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

App StateTEAM STATGeorgia Southern

27-56FG24-63

48.0%FG%38.0%

7-233PT11-31

30.0%3PT%35.0%

20-28FT6-9

71.0%FT%67.0%

41Rebounds35

13Offensive Rebounds13

8Assists14

10Turnovers12

11Steals4

8Blocks7

11Fouls22

Player Box Score

App State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kasen Jennings	G	35	9-18	3-8	10-11	6	1	3	0	31
Michael Marcus Jr.	F	31	6-11	3-7	5-5	10	0	0	1	20
Alonzo Dodd	G	35	7-12	1-3	3-6	6	2	3	1	18
Eren Banks	G	25	2-5	0-2	0-0	1	1	1	0	4
Chad Moodie	F	15	2-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	2	4
Luke Wilson	C	33	1-4	0-0	1-4	7	0	1	4	3
Jalen Tot	G	26	0-4	0-3	1-2	0	4	3	0	1

Georgia Southern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyren Moore	G	31	6-16	3-11	2-2	3	6	1	0	17
Spudd Webb	G	36	4-11	3-6	1-3	5	2	1	0	12
Khayri Dunn	G	20	4-8	2-4	0-0	2	0	0	1	10
Nakavieon White	F	24	3-9	1-2	2-3	2	3	1	1	9
Andres Burney	F	19	3-3	0-0	0-0	5	1	1	2	6
Alden Applewhite	F	25	2-7	1-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	5
Dwayne Williams Jr	G	21	1-6	1-4	0-0	2	1	0	0	3
Shainen Carter	F	17	1-2	0-0	1-1	2	0	0	2	3
Tsvet Sotirov	F	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.3Possessions66.3

122.2Offensive Efficiency98.0

98.0Defensive Efficiency122.2

24.1Net Efficiency-24.1

54.5%Effective FG%46.8%

58.4%True Shooting %48.3%

15.1%Turnover Rate18.1%

50.0%Free Throw Rate14.3%

41.1%3-Point Rate49.2%

0.80Assist / Turnover1.17

Game Summary

App State won by 16 points. The game played at approximately 66.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.