UTEP

11-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

22.0%UTEP

78.0%Jacksonville State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADJacksonville State -9.4

PROJECTED TOTAL141.3

MODEL MONEYLINEJacksonville State -355

Jacksonville State

15-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUTEP 66

Projected Total141.3

Projected ScoreJacksonville State 75

Team Comparison

UTEPMetricJacksonville State

44.4MMH Power Index51.2

102.6Offensive Efficiency108.2

107.1Defensive Efficiency101.8

-4.5Net Efficiency6.4

1.7Strength of Schedule-2.3

-4.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.3

67.6Tempo67.2

49.2%Effective FG%51.0%

17.3%Turnover Rate17.0%

27.6%Offensive Rebound %31.3%

35.6%Free Throw Rate44.5%

-3.1Average Margin4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Jacksonville State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMJacksonville State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.2–44.4), offensive efficiency (108.2–102.6), defensive efficiency (101.8–107.1), net efficiency (6.4–-4.5).

UTEP COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.7–-2.3).

Final

UTEP

69—64

Jacksonville State

UTEP by 5 • 59.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UTEPTEAM STATJacksonville State

22-47FG24-49

47.0%FG%49.0%

11-253PT8-18

44.0%3PT%44.0%

14-19FT8-14

74.0%FT%57.0%

27Rebounds30

7Offensive Rebounds9

14Assists14

11Turnovers13

11Steals4

5Blocks3

12Fouls15

Player Box Score

UTEP

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Caleb Blackwell	G	34	6-12	2-7	2-3	4	6	2	0	16
Elijah Jones	F	32	5-12	5-8	1-2	6	0	2	1	16
Kaseem Watson	F	36	3-6	2-5	4-4	8	2	1	0	12
Jamal West Jr.	F	33	4-8	0-0	2-4	2	2	0	4	10
KJ Thomas	G	32	1-3	1-2	3-4	1	2	3	0	6
Cassius Brooks	G	17	2-3	0-1	0-0	3	2	0	0	4
Trey Horton III	G	3	1-2	1-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	3
LA Hayes	G	10	0-1	0-1	2-2	0	0	2	0	2
Mouhamed Mbaye	C	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Jacksonville State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
AC Bryant	G	34	7-13	3-6	0-0	4	2	1	0	17
Mostapha El Moutaouakkil	G	38	6-15	1-5	3-8	5	1	0	0	16
Jacoby Hill	G	38	4-8	0-1	2-2	3	1	0	0	10
Jaye Nash	G	30	3-7	2-3	2-2	2	5	0	0	10
Emondrek Erkins-Ford	F	16	2-2	1-1	0-0	1	0	1	1	5
Iaroslav Niagu	F	26	1-1	0-0	1-2	7	4	0	2	3
Marcus Fitzgerald Jr.	G	18	1-3	1-2	0-0	3	1	2	0	3

Advanced Game Stats

59.9Possessions59.9

115.2Offensive Efficiency106.8

106.8Defensive Efficiency115.2

8.3Net Efficiency-8.3

58.5%Effective FG%57.1%

61.6%True Shooting %57.5%

18.3%Turnover Rate21.8%

40.4%Free Throw Rate28.6%

53.2%3-Point Rate36.7%

1.27Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

UTEP won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 59.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.