Bowling Green

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

91.1%Bowling Green

8.9%Northern Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBowling Green -14.4

PROJECTED TOTAL152.1

MODEL MONEYLINEBowling Green -1024

Northern Illinois

9-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBowling Green 83

Projected Total152.1

Projected ScoreNorthern Illinois 69

Team Comparison

Bowling GreenMetricNorthern Illinois

54.7MMH Power Index29.2

112.6Offensive Efficiency99.7

99.1Defensive Efficiency111.6

13.5Net Efficiency-11.9

-4.7Strength of Schedule-2.1

1.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-28.8

72.2Tempo69.7

53.4%Effective FG%48.5%

15.9%Turnover Rate21.3%

29.2%Offensive Rebound %31.7%

38.7%Free Throw Rate39.6%

9.8Average Margin-8.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Bowling Green HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBowling Green holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.7–29.2), offensive efficiency (112.6–99.7), defensive efficiency (99.1–111.6), net efficiency (13.5–-11.9).

Northern Illinois COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.1–-4.7), offensive rebounding (31.7–29.2), free throw rate (39.6–38.7).

Final

Bowling Green

68—52

Northern Illinois

Bowling Green by 16 • 69.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Bowling GreenTEAM STATNorthern Illinois

27-54FG18-57

50.0%FG%32.0%

5-163PT5-27

31.0%3PT%19.0%

9-11FT11-15

82.0%FT%73.0%

39Rebounds31

5Offensive Rebounds7

13Assists14

15Turnovers13

13Steals4

5Blocks4

17Fouls9

Player Box Score

Bowling Green

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mayar Wol	F	25	6-9	3-4	0-0	4	0	1	0	15
Javontae Campbell	G	30	5-8	1-2	2-2	6	5	3	0	13
Justin Thomas	G	27	4-6	0-0	2-2	5	3	3	0	10
Sam Towns	F	35	4-10	0-4	0-0	9	2	3	0	8
Aiden Goins	F	15	3-6	0-1	2-2	2	0	0	0	8
Troy Glover II	F	18	2-6	0-0	2-3	2	0	1	5	6
Josiah Shackelford	G	22	2-5	0-2	1-2	3	2	2	0	5
Javon Ruffin	G	21	1-3	1-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	3
Makhi Leach	G	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Northern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Makhai Valentine	G	33	4-13	3-10	4-5	3	2	1	1	15
Taj Walters	G	28	3-6	1-1	1-2	2	0	0	0	8
Gustav Winther	F	19	4-7	0-0	0-0	4	1	1	2	8
Gianni Cobb	G	32	2-7	0-3	2-2	5	6	0	0	6
Dylan Ducommun	G	29	2-11	1-9	0-0	2	2	1	0	5
Daemar Kelly	G	23	1-3	0-1	2-2	5	2	1	0	4
Hassan Washington	F	16	1-5	0-0	2-4	6	0	0	0	4
Ladji Kante	F	5	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	1	2
Jaylen Wharton	F	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Isaiah Stewart	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Carlos Coronado	G	5	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.7Possessions69.7

97.6Offensive Efficiency74.6

74.6Defensive Efficiency97.6

23.0Net Efficiency-23.0

54.6%Effective FG%36.0%

57.4%True Shooting %40.5%

21.7%Turnover Rate18.5%

20.4%Free Throw Rate26.3%

29.6%3-Point Rate47.4%

0.87Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

Bowling Green won by 16 points. The game played at approximately 69.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.