Troy

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

50.4%Troy

49.6%Texas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTexas State -0.4

PROJECTED TOTAL150.3

MODEL MONEYLINETroy -102

Texas State

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTroy 75

Projected Total150.3

Projected ScoreTexas State 75

Team Comparison

TroyMetricTexas State

54.1MMH Power Index49.4

112.6Offensive Efficiency107.7

103.9Defensive Efficiency103.4

8.7Net Efficiency4.3

-2.2Strength of Schedule-4.7

2.0Last 10 Net Efficiency9.1

70.4Tempo68.6

52.1%Effective FG%51.3%

17.1%Turnover Rate18.4%

35.3%Offensive Rebound %34.3%

36.8%Free Throw Rate36.0%

6.1Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Troy HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTroy holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.1–49.4), offensive efficiency (112.6–107.7), net efficiency (8.7–4.3), strength of schedule (-2.2–-4.7).

Texas State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.4–103.9), recent form (9.1–2.0).

Final

Troy

62—74

Texas State

Texas State by 12 • 63.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

TroyTEAM STATTexas State

17-47FG28-47

36.0%FG%60.0%

8-273PT2-9

30.0%3PT%22.0%

20-26FT16-19

77.0%FT%84.0%

26Rebounds26

11Offensive Rebounds6

9Assists13

15Turnovers14

8Steals12

1Blocks—

15Fouls19

Player Box Score

Troy

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Victor Valdes	F	30	5-12	0-5	12-16	4	2	1	0	22
Theo Seng	F	24	4-5	4-5	2-2	5	0	0	0	14
Cooper Campbell	G	35	3-8	2-3	2-2	3	1	2	0	10
Cobi Campbell	G	31	2-7	1-5	0-0	1	1	2	0	5
Austin Cross	G	21	1-4	0-2	3-4	0	0	2	0	5
Thomas Dowd	F	37	1-8	1-6	1-2	6	3	1	1	4
Jerrell Bellamy	C	11	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Kerrington Kiel	F	11	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	2	0	0	0

Texas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
DJ Hall	F	33	9-15	0-1	3-4	6	2	2	21
Mark Drone	G	38	6-11	0-2	3-3	6	2	1	15
Kaden Gumbs	G	35	4-6	1-2	2-4	4	4	3	11
Tay Knox	C	17	4-4	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	8
Robert Fields	C	14	1-1	0-0	4-4	1	1	1	6
Kyndall Davis	G	24	2-3	1-1	0-0	0	1	2	5
Makai Willis	C	13	1-1	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	4
Jalen Bolden	G	18	0-4	0-2	2-2	1	1	3	2
Franck Emmou	G	8	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	2	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

63.7Possessions63.7

97.3Offensive Efficiency116.2

116.2Defensive Efficiency97.3

-18.8Net Efficiency18.8

44.7%Effective FG%61.7%

52.2%True Shooting %66.0%

23.7%Turnover Rate21.9%

55.3%Free Throw Rate40.4%

57.4%3-Point Rate19.1%

0.60Assist / Turnover0.93

Game Summary

Texas State won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 63.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.