Cincinnati

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

74.9%Cincinnati

25.1%Kansas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCincinnati -5.8

PROJECTED TOTAL153.0

MODEL MONEYLINECincinnati -298

Kansas State

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCincinnati 79

Projected Total153.0

Projected ScoreKansas State 74

Team Comparison

CincinnatiMetricKansas State

61.5MMH Power Index47.1

105.3Offensive Efficiency107.8

97.3Defensive Efficiency110.9

8.0Net Efficiency-3.1

5.1Strength of Schedule5.5

14.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-14.3

69.4Tempo73.8

50.6%Effective FG%53.5%

17.0%Turnover Rate17.4%

30.6%Offensive Rebound %29.4%

30.7%Free Throw Rate27.4%

5.5Average Margin-2.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cincinnati HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCincinnati holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.5–47.1), defensive efficiency (97.3–110.9), net efficiency (8.0–-3.1), recent form (14.4–-14.3).

Kansas State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (107.8–105.3), strength of schedule (5.5–5.1), shooting efficiency (53.5–50.6).

Final

Cincinnati

91—62

Kansas State

Cincinnati by 29 • 70.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

CincinnatiTEAM STATKansas State

31-62FG25-62

50.0%FG%40.0%

16-283PT6-25

57.0%3PT%24.0%

13-16FT6-9

81.0%FT%67.0%

37Rebounds29

13Offensive Rebounds11

21Assists11

13Turnovers16

7Steals4

5Blocks3

13Fouls13

Player Box Score

Cincinnati

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jizzle James	G	32	9-14	6-8	0-0	1	2	1	0	24
Jalen Celestine	G	27	6-8	4-6	2-3	5	0	3	0	18
Baba Miller	F	31	4-10	2-2	6-8	12	6	1	4	16
Sencire Harris	G	24	4-9	1-4	3-3	3	2	0	0	12
Day Day Thomas	G	28	4-8	2-5	0-0	3	7	2	0	10
Halvine Dzellat	C	23	2-6	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	0	4
Jordi Rodriguez	G	6	1-1	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Tyler McKinley	F	15	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Keyshuan Tillery	G	12	0-2	0-2	2-2	1	3	0	1	2
Grant Darbyshire	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Kansas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
P.J. Haggerty	G	38	11-18	1-2	1-2	3	2	2	0	24
David Castillo	G	31	3-12	2-8	0-0	2	0	0	0	8
Khamari McGriff	F	23	2-3	0-1	3-5	3	0	0	0	7
Nate Johnson	G	32	2-8	0-3	2-2	2	4	0	0	6
Marcus Johnson	F	18	2-9	2-7	0-0	1	1	0	0	6
C.J. Jones	G	16	2-6	1-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	5
Dorin Buca	C	12	2-3	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	1	4
Taj Manning	F	30	1-3	0-0	0-0	9	4	2	2	2

Advanced Game Stats

70.4Possessions70.4

129.3Offensive Efficiency88.1

88.1Defensive Efficiency129.3

41.2Net Efficiency-41.2

62.9%Effective FG%45.2%

65.4%True Shooting %46.8%

18.7%Turnover Rate22.4%

25.8%Free Throw Rate14.5%

45.2%3-Point Rate40.3%

1.62Assist / Turnover0.69

Game Summary

Cincinnati won by 29 points. The game played at approximately 70.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.