Liberty

26-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.3%Liberty

55.7%New Mexico State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNew Mexico State -2.3

PROJECTED TOTAL149.2

MODEL MONEYLINENew Mexico State -126

New Mexico State

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLiberty 73

Projected Total149.2

Projected ScoreNew Mexico State 76

Team Comparison

LibertyMetricNew Mexico State

53.7MMH Power Index51.2

119.0Offensive Efficiency108.9

108.0Defensive Efficiency104.5

11.0Net Efficiency4.4

-2.0Strength of Schedule-0.7

-4.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.0

65.3Tempo68.9

60.5%Effective FG%48.6%

13.2%Turnover Rate15.2%

19.0%Offensive Rebound %33.1%

32.1%Free Throw Rate37.0%

7.2Average Margin3.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Liberty HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLiberty holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.7–51.2), offensive efficiency (119.0–108.9), net efficiency (11.0–4.4), shooting efficiency (60.5–48.6).

New Mexico State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.5–108.0), strength of schedule (-0.7–-2.0), recent form (-2.0–-4.2).

Final

Liberty

77—75

New Mexico State

Liberty by 2 • 67.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LibertyTEAM STATNew Mexico State

29-66FG30-63

44.0%FG%48.0%

11-323PT8-27

34.0%3PT%30.0%

8-9FT7-7

89.0%FT%100.0%

32Rebounds37

9Offensive Rebounds10

14Assists14

7Turnovers10

5Steals5

2Blocks4

12Fouls12

Player Box Score

Liberty

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
JJ Harper	G	33	7-11	2-4	3-3	1	4	3	0	19
Kaden Metheny	G	36	7-14	4-11	0-0	1	0	0	0	18
Zach Cleveland	F	38	5-9	0-0	5-6	14	4	0	2	15
Colin Porter	G	38	6-15	3-7	0-0	4	5	1	0	15
Brett Decker Jr.	G	33	3-9	2-7	0-0	4	1	0	0	8
Josh Smith	F	13	1-5	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	0	2
Zander Carter	G	7	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Zander Yates	F	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

New Mexico State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jemel Jones	G	33	10-19	3-5	0-0	2	4	3	1	23
Julius Mims	F	33	10-13	1-2	0-0	13	0	0	0	21
Chris Terrell	G	23	4-5	1-1	3-3	3	6	0	1	12
Anthony Wrzeszcz	G	30	3-10	2-8	0-0	3	0	0	0	8
Jae'Coby Osborne	F	28	1-3	0-0	2-2	7	1	1	1	4
Gabe Pickens	G	16	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Elijah Elliott	G	17	1-6	0-5	0-0	3	1	0	0	2
Jayland Randall	G	13	0-5	0-4	2-2	2	1	1	0	2
Kyrese Mullen	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.3Possessions67.3

114.4Offensive Efficiency111.4

111.4Defensive Efficiency114.4

3.0Net Efficiency-3.0

52.3%Effective FG%54.0%

54.8%True Shooting %56.5%

10.3%Turnover Rate15.1%

13.6%Free Throw Rate11.1%

48.5%3-Point Rate42.9%

2.00Assist / Turnover1.40

Game Summary

Liberty won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 67.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.