Penn State

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

10.4%Penn State

89.6%Washington

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWashington -14.7

PROJECTED TOTAL154.4

MODEL MONEYLINEWashington -862

Washington

16-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePenn State 70

Projected Total154.4

Projected ScoreWashington 85

Team Comparison

Penn StateMetricWashington

42.3MMH Power Index57.1

109.2Offensive Efficiency112.2

117.6Defensive Efficiency107.1

-8.4Net Efficiency5.1

5.3Strength of Schedule4.2

-20.8Last 10 Net Efficiency0.7

67.5Tempo68.7

53.4%Effective FG%51.4%

15.6%Turnover Rate15.3%

25.6%Offensive Rebound %34.2%

34.6%Free Throw Rate30.9%

-5.7Average Margin3.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Washington HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY89.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWashington holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.1–42.3), offensive efficiency (112.2–109.2), defensive efficiency (107.1–117.6), net efficiency (5.1–-8.4).

Penn State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.3–4.2), shooting efficiency (53.4–51.4), free throw rate (34.6–30.9).

Final

Penn State

63—60

Washington

Penn State by 3 • 65.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Penn StateTEAM STATWashington

25-52FG23-61

48.0%FG%38.0%

5-133PT6-18

38.0%3PT%33.0%

8-11FT8-14

73.0%FT%57.0%

31Rebounds37

4Offensive Rebounds14

4Assists11

12Turnovers12

9Steals5

4Blocks4

14Fouls13

Player Box Score

Penn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Freddie Dilione V	G	34	7-14	0-1	2-2	2	1	1	0	16
Josh Reed	F	35	5-10	2-3	2-2	6	0	2	1	14
Kayden Mingo	G	35	6-11	1-3	0-1	6	3	3	1	13
Eli Rice	G	27	4-6	1-3	3-4	2	0	0	1	12
Melih Tunca	G	16	1-5	0-0	1-2	6	0	0	0	3
Dominick Stewart	G	8	1-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	3
Ivan Juric	F	22	1-3	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	1	2
Justin Houser	F	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	0
Saša Ciani	F	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

Washington

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Hannes Steinbach	F	38	6-12	1-2	6-8	14	2	0	2	19
Wesley Yates III	G	38	5-15	1-7	0-0	0	3	2	1	11
Quimari Peterson	G	24	3-6	3-5	0-1	6	2	1	1	9
Zoom Diallo	G	30	3-15	0-2	2-4	3	3	0	0	8
Bryson Tucker	F	28	3-8	1-2	0-1	3	0	0	0	7
Franck Kepnang	C	25	2-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	2	0	4
Lathan Sommerville	C	13	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	2
Jacob Ognacevic	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.5Possessions65.5

96.2Offensive Efficiency91.6

91.6Defensive Efficiency96.2

4.6Net Efficiency-4.6

52.9%Effective FG%42.6%

55.0%True Shooting %44.3%

18.4%Turnover Rate18.3%

21.2%Free Throw Rate23.0%

25.0%3-Point Rate29.5%

0.33Assist / Turnover0.92

Game Summary

Penn State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 65.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in True Shooting %, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.