Air Force

3-29

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

3.9%Air Force

96.1%Fresno State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFresno State -21.9

PROJECTED TOTAL143.9

MODEL MONEYLINEFresno State -2464

Fresno State

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAir Force 61

Projected Total143.9

Projected ScoreFresno State 83

Team Comparison

Air ForceMetricFresno State

23MMH Power Index47.1

91.3Offensive Efficiency104.9

118.5Defensive Efficiency104.9

-27.2Net Efficiency0.0

6.2Strength of Schedule1.5

-33.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.0

67.4Tempo69.4

49.0%Effective FG%51.3%

21.9%Turnover Rate18.2%

21.4%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

35.9%Free Throw Rate35.5%

-18.3Average Margin0.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Fresno State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY96.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFresno State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (47.1–23.0), offensive efficiency (104.9–91.3), defensive efficiency (104.9–118.5), net efficiency (0.0–-27.2).

Air Force COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.2–1.5), free throw rate (35.9–35.5).

Final

Air Force

63—93

Fresno State

Fresno State by 30 • 72.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Air ForceTEAM STATFresno State

21-54FG32-58

39.0%FG%55.0%

9-293PT7-23

31.0%3PT%30.0%

12-15FT22-31

80.0%FT%71.0%

28Rebounds37

6Offensive Rebounds9

14Assists15

18Turnovers9

5Steals9

1Blocks4

23Fouls15

Player Box Score

Air Force

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Lucas Hobin	F	30	8-14	5-10	5-5	2	0	0	0	26
Riley Dering	F	23	6-9	1-1	0-0	5	0	0	0	13
Kam Sanders	G	30	2-8	1-3	5-6	5	11	1	0	10
Ethan Greenberg	G	27	2-6	2-6	2-2	1	0	0	0	8
Caleb Walker	F	18	2-3	0-0	0-2	8	0	0	0	4
Wesley Celichowski	C	14	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	0	2
Eli Robinson	F	19	0-4	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	1	0
Kolby Gilles	F	10	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
A.J. Patterson	G	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	2	0	0
Brendan Martin	F	7	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Justin Hinds	G	6	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Sam Imade	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Josh Gatete	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Elliott Taite	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Fresno State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
DeShawn Gory	F	28	8-16	0-4	2-2	4	4	3	1	18
Wilson Jacques	C	28	6-6	0-0	6-9	9	0	2	2	18
Bastien Rieber	G	18	4-5	3-4	1-2	2	1	0	0	12
Zaon Collins	G	27	5-9	1-3	0-0	3	4	1	0	11
Jac Mani	F	13	3-7	0-1	3-5	6	0	0	0	9
Aram Soqui Urbano	G	22	2-5	2-5	1-2	3	0	0	0	7
DJ Stickman	G	14	1-3	0-1	5-5	1	2	2	0	7
Cameron Faas	G	16	2-4	1-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	5
Gasper Kocevar	C	19	0-0	0-0	2-4	1	2	1	1	2
Makhan Diouf	F	8	1-2	0-1	0-0	4	2	0	0	2
Matteo Porto	G	7	0-1	0-1	2-2	0	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

72.9Possessions72.9

86.4Offensive Efficiency127.6

127.6Defensive Efficiency86.4

-41.2Net Efficiency41.2

47.2%Effective FG%61.2%

51.5%True Shooting %63.9%

24.6%Turnover Rate12.4%

27.8%Free Throw Rate53.4%

53.7%3-Point Rate39.7%

0.78Assist / Turnover1.67

Game Summary

Fresno State won by 30 points. The game played at approximately 72.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.