Samford

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

29.4%Samford

70.6%East Tennessee State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADEast Tennessee State -7.5

PROJECTED TOTAL152.6

MODEL MONEYLINEEast Tennessee State -240

East Tennessee State

23-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSamford 73

Projected Total152.6

Projected ScoreEast Tennessee State 80

Team Comparison

SamfordMetricEast Tennessee State

54.1MMH Power Index57.4

113.5Offensive Efficiency115.1

108.3Defensive Efficiency102.8

5.2Net Efficiency12.3

-2.9Strength of Schedule-1.6

14.0Last 10 Net Efficiency3.7

69.5Tempo67.4

54.0%Effective FG%55.4%

13.3%Turnover Rate15.1%

25.3%Offensive Rebound %28.8%

42.5%Free Throw Rate35.0%

3.6Average Margin8.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

East Tennessee State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMEast Tennessee State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.4–54.1), offensive efficiency (115.1–113.5), defensive efficiency (102.8–108.3), net efficiency (12.3–5.2).

Samford COUNTERS WITHrecent form (14.0–3.7), ball security (13.3–15.1), free throw rate (42.5–35.0).

Final

Samford

82—72

East Tennessee State

Samford by 10 • 75.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

SamfordTEAM STATEast Tennessee State

22-53FG25-61

42.0%FG%41.0%

7-243PT5-20

29.0%3PT%25.0%

31-40FT17-22

77.0%FT%77.0%

38Rebounds34

7Offensive Rebounds8

15Assists15

10Turnovers12

7Steals7

3Blocks4

14Fouls27

Player Box Score

Samford

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dylan Faulkner	F	35	10-18	0-0	4-6	10	1	0	3	24
Jadin Booth	G	44	4-14	3-9	8-10	2	2	4	0	19
Cade Norris	G	44	2-4	1-3	9-10	3	2	0	0	14
Keaton Norris	G	42	3-8	2-6	4-4	12	6	0	0	12
Zion Wilburn	G	29	1-2	1-2	4-6	4	2	3	0	7
Will Shaver	C	10	1-1	0-0	1-2	1	1	0	0	3
Judson Bjornstad	F	7	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Kam Martin	G	14	0-3	0-3	1-2	3	1	0	0	1

East Tennessee State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brian Taylor II	G	44	11-18	3-7	3-4	2	2	2	0	28
Blake Barkley	F	35	6-12	0-1	3-4	7	1	1	0	15
Cam Morris III	F	35	1-7	0-2	10-12	8	3	1	1	12
Jordan McCullum	F	35	3-6	0-1	1-2	7	1	2	2	7
Allen Strothers	G	35	2-9	0-1	0-0	3	3	0	1	4
Maki Johnson	G	17	1-4	1-4	0-0	5	2	0	0	3
Isaiah Sutherland	F	7	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Jaylen Smith	G	10	0-3	0-2	0-0	0	1	1	0	0
Milton Matthews III	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.3Possessions75.3

108.9Offensive Efficiency95.6

95.6Defensive Efficiency108.9

13.3Net Efficiency-13.3

48.1%Effective FG%45.1%

56.9%True Shooting %50.4%

13.3%Turnover Rate15.9%

75.5%Free Throw Rate36.1%

45.3%3-Point Rate32.8%

1.50Assist / Turnover1.25

Game Summary

Samford won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 75.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.