App State

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

42.6%App State

57.4%James Madison

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADJames Madison -1.9

PROJECTED TOTAL143.5

MODEL MONEYLINEJames Madison -135

James Madison

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreApp State 71

Projected Total143.5

Projected ScoreJames Madison 73

Team Comparison

App StateMetricJames Madison

54.2MMH Power Index52.3

110.9Offensive Efficiency110.5

101.7Defensive Efficiency109.4

9.2Net Efficiency1.1

-4.2Strength of Schedule1.2

7.0Last 10 Net Efficiency7.9

64.9Tempo67.5

51.1%Effective FG%53.3%

15.2%Turnover Rate17.3%

34.2%Offensive Rebound %30.5%

39.8%Free Throw Rate36.6%

6.0Average Margin0.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

App State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMApp State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–52.3), offensive efficiency (110.9–110.5), defensive efficiency (101.7–109.4), net efficiency (9.2–1.1).

James Madison COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.2–-4.2), recent form (7.9–7.0), shooting efficiency (53.3–51.1).

Final

App State

58—69

James Madison

James Madison by 11 • 61.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

App StateTEAM STATJames Madison

19-54FG25-59

35.0%FG%42.0%

6-283PT8-22

21.0%3PT%36.0%

14-24FT11-17

58.0%FT%65.0%

40Rebounds37

14Offensive Rebounds11

7Assists13

10Turnovers5

1Steals6

4Blocks1

14Fouls17

Player Box Score

App State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Alonzo Dodd	G	36	6-14	1-5	5-6	4	3	1	1	18
Luke Wilson	C	35	6-9	0-0	6-13	16	0	0	2	18
Jalen Tot	G	35	3-12	3-11	0-0	1	1	0	0	9
Kasen Jennings	G	38	2-11	1-6	3-4	6	1	0	0	8
Michael Marcus Jr.	F	27	2-4	1-3	0-1	4	2	0	1	5
Eren Banks	G	18	0-4	0-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Chad Moodie	F	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	0

James Madison

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Justin McBride	F	33	9-17	2-4	1-2	7	2	1	0	21
Cliff Davis	G	35	2-10	2-7	5-6	2	5	1	0	11
Bradley Douglas	G	29	3-10	2-7	2-5	2	1	2	0	10
Preston Fowler	F	36	3-5	1-2	0-0	6	1	2	0	7
Gabe Newhof	F	22	3-7	0-0	1-2	5	1	0	1	7
Eli Wilborn	F	12	3-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	6
Kose Egbule	G	19	1-5	1-2	2-2	5	3	0	0	5
Justin Taylor	G	7	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Christian Brown	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.3Possessions61.3

94.6Offensive Efficiency112.6

112.6Defensive Efficiency94.6

-17.9Net Efficiency17.9

40.7%Effective FG%49.2%

44.3%True Shooting %51.4%

16.3%Turnover Rate8.2%

44.4%Free Throw Rate28.8%

51.9%3-Point Rate37.3%

0.70Assist / Turnover2.60

Game Summary

James Madison won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 61.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.