Mississippi State

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

19.1%Mississippi State

80.9%Ole Miss

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADOle Miss -9.7

PROJECTED TOTAL159.1

MODEL MONEYLINEOle Miss -424

Ole Miss

15-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMississippi State 75

Projected Total159.1

Projected ScoreOle Miss 84

Team Comparison

Mississippi StateMetricOle Miss

44.6MMH Power Index53

107.4Offensive Efficiency109.2

113.2Defensive Efficiency109.5

-5.8Net Efficiency-0.3

5.0Strength of Schedule5.4

-17.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.3

72.3Tempo69.5

51.6%Effective FG%50.6%

16.1%Turnover Rate14.0%

29.8%Offensive Rebound %28.0%

30.9%Free Throw Rate33.8%

-4.2Average Margin-0.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Ole Miss HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMOle Miss holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.0–44.6), offensive efficiency (109.2–107.4), defensive efficiency (109.5–113.2), net efficiency (-0.3–-5.8).

Mississippi State COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (51.6–50.6), offensive rebounding (29.8–28.0).

Final

Mississippi State

90—78

Ole Miss

Mississippi State by 12 • 70.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Mississippi StateTEAM STATOle Miss

33-57FG27-65

58.0%FG%42.0%

11-243PT8-26

46.0%3PT%31.0%

13-22FT16-21

59.0%FT%76.0%

38Rebounds35

6Offensive Rebounds10

18Assists19

9Turnovers6

3Steals6

2Blocks4

17Fouls16

Player Box Score

Mississippi State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josh Hubbard	G	36	12-16	4-6	4-7	2	6	0	0	32
Achor Achor	F	22	6-8	3-4	3-4	5	1	1	0	18
Jayden Epps	G	33	3-13	1-7	5-5	7	3	0	0	12
Ja'Borri McGhee	G	28	3-7	1-3	0-1	3	2	1	0	7
Jamarion Davis-Fleming	F	25	3-3	0-0	0-3	5	0	0	0	6
Quincy Ballard	C	16	3-3	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	1	6
Sergej Macura	F	15	2-3	1-1	0-0	3	2	1	0	5
Shawn Jones Jr.	G	22	1-2	1-1	1-2	8	3	0	0	4
King Grace	G	3	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Ole Miss

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Malik Dia	F	30	11-20	1-4	9-12	7	1	0	0	32
AJ Storr	G	32	8-16	3-7	2-2	6	5	2	0	21
Eduardo Klafke	G	31	2-7	1-3	1-2	5	4	3	0	6
Ilias Kamardine	G	30	1-3	1-2	2-2	3	5	1	0	5
Travis Perry	G	22	1-4	1-3	0-0	3	2	0	1	3
Patton Pinkins	G	21	1-5	1-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
James Scott	F	11	1-1	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	3
Corey Chest	F	5	1-1	0-0	1-1	1	2	0	0	3
Koren Johnson	G	3	1-4	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Zach Day	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	2	0
Augusto Cassiá	F	5	0-4	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Max Smith	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Niko Bundalo	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.8Possessions70.8

127.1Offensive Efficiency110.2

110.2Defensive Efficiency127.1

16.9Net Efficiency-16.9

67.5%Effective FG%47.7%

66.7%True Shooting %52.0%

12.8%Turnover Rate8.5%

38.6%Free Throw Rate32.3%

42.1%3-Point Rate40.0%

2.00Assist / Turnover3.17

Game Summary

Mississippi State won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 70.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.