SMU

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

65.4%SMU

34.6%Syracuse

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSMU -2.7

PROJECTED TOTAL158.7

MODEL MONEYLINESMU -189

Syracuse

15-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSMU 81

Projected Total158.7

Projected ScoreSyracuse 78

Team Comparison

SMUMetricSyracuse

62.5MMH Power Index52.2

118.2Offensive Efficiency109.2

109.6Defensive Efficiency106.6

8.6Net Efficiency2.6

7.0Strength of Schedule5.6

-1.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-15.1

71.1Tempo69.0

55.7%Effective FG%52.9%

15.7%Turnover Rate15.6%

35.0%Offensive Rebound %29.0%

31.3%Free Throw Rate36.2%

6.1Average Margin1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

SMU HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSMU holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (62.5–52.2), offensive efficiency (118.2–109.2), net efficiency (8.6–2.6), strength of schedule (7.0–5.6).

Syracuse COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.6–109.6), ball security (15.6–15.7), free throw rate (36.2–31.3).

Final

SMU

78—79

Syracuse

Syracuse by 1 • 65.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

SMUTEAM STATSyracuse

29-67FG27-60

43.0%FG%45.0%

7-203PT11-30

35.0%3PT%37.0%

13-17FT14-18

76.0%FT%78.0%

41Rebounds35

16Offensive Rebounds11

16Assists14

6Turnovers8

6Steals2

2Blocks8

19Fouls16

Player Box Score

SMU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaden Toombs	C	30	7-11	0-0	5-8	5	0	0	0	19
Corey Washington	F	25	5-13	1-4	2-2	9	3	1	1	13
Jaron Pierre Jr.	G	34	4-12	2-5	2-2	5	2	1	0	12
Boopie Miller	G	33	3-11	3-6	2-2	6	7	1	0	11
Samet Yigitoglu	C	19	5-5	0-0	1-2	4	1	0	0	11
B.J. Edwards	G	35	4-9	1-3	1-1	6	3	2	0	10
Jermaine O'Neal Jr.	F	14	1-5	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	1	2
Sam Walters	F	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
B.J. Davis-Ray	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Syracuse

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Donnie Freeman	F	33	5-11	1-3	7-10	5	3	1	3	18
Naithan George	G	37	5-9	2-5	4-4	4	6	1	0	16
Nate Kingz	G	35	5-11	3-8	0-1	5	2	0	1	13
Kiyan Anthony	G	24	5-10	2-4	1-1	2	1	0	0	13
Tyler Betsey	F	17	3-8	2-7	0-0	5	1	0	0	8
William Kyle III	F	28	1-3	0-0	2-2	7	0	0	3	4
J.J. Starling	G	19	2-6	0-2	0-0	3	1	0	0	4
Sadiq White Jr.	F	7	1-2	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	1	3

Advanced Game Stats

65.4Possessions65.4

119.3Offensive Efficiency120.8

120.8Defensive Efficiency119.3

-1.5Net Efficiency1.5

48.5%Effective FG%54.2%

51.9%True Shooting %57.6%

9.2%Turnover Rate12.2%

25.4%Free Throw Rate30.0%

29.9%3-Point Rate50.0%

2.67Assist / Turnover1.75

Game Summary

Syracuse won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 65.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, True Shooting %, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.