North Dakota State

27-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

76.8%North Dakota State

23.2%North Dakota

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Dakota State -7.1

PROJECTED TOTAL154.7

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Dakota State -331

North Dakota

18-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Dakota State 81

Projected Total154.7

Projected ScoreNorth Dakota 74

Team Comparison

North Dakota StateMetricNorth Dakota

59MMH Power Index43.7

115.4Offensive Efficiency109.2

100.8Defensive Efficiency110.2

14.6Net Efficiency-1.0

-4.6Strength of Schedule-3.4

14.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.2

69.6Tempo70.1

54.5%Effective FG%50.1%

15.5%Turnover Rate14.0%

32.0%Offensive Rebound %28.9%

31.3%Free Throw Rate37.5%

10.1Average Margin-0.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Dakota State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Dakota State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.0–43.7), offensive efficiency (115.4–109.2), defensive efficiency (100.8–110.2), net efficiency (14.6–-1.0).

North Dakota COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-3.4–-4.6), ball security (14.0–15.5), free throw rate (37.5–31.3).

Final

North Dakota State

83—83

North Dakota

Tied • 65.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North Dakota StateTEAM STATNorth Dakota

30-54FG30-54

56.0%FG%56.0%

10-253PT10-25

40.0%3PT%40.0%

13-17FT13-17

76.0%FT%76.0%

36Rebounds36

12Offensive Rebounds12

20Assists20

15Turnovers15

7Steals7

2Blocks2

15Fouls15

Player Box Score

North Dakota State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Andy Stefonowicz	G	36	6-7	5-5	3-3	3	4	2	0	20
Damari Wheeler-Thomas	G	33	5-14	4-9	2-3	2	2	2	0	16
Markhi Strickland	G	23	7-8	0-0	2-2	3	2	0	0	16
Noah Feddersen	F	25	5-5	0-0	2-3	2	1	0	0	12
Trevian Carson	G	34	3-7	1-3	2-2	8	7	1	0	9
Treyson Anderson	F	15	2-5	0-2	2-4	4	1	0	2	6
Emil Skytta	G	15	2-2	0-0	0-0	6	2	1	0	4
Tay Smith	G	17	0-6	0-6	0-0	4	0	1	0	0
Riley Massey	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

North Dakota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Andy Stefonowicz	G	36	6-7	5-5	3-3	3	4	2	0	20
Damari Wheeler-Thomas	G	33	5-14	4-9	2-3	2	2	2	0	16
Markhi Strickland	G	23	7-8	0-0	2-2	3	2	0	0	16
Noah Feddersen	F	25	5-5	0-0	2-3	2	1	0	0	12
Trevian Carson	G	34	3-7	1-3	2-2	8	7	1	0	9
Treyson Anderson	F	15	2-5	0-2	2-4	4	1	0	2	6
Emil Skytta	G	15	2-2	0-0	0-0	6	2	1	0	4
Tay Smith	G	17	0-6	0-6	0-0	4	0	1	0	0
Riley Massey	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.1Possessions65.1

127.5Offensive Efficiency127.5

127.5Defensive Efficiency127.5

0.0Net Efficiency0.0

64.8%Effective FG%64.8%

66.9%True Shooting %66.9%

23.1%Turnover Rate23.1%

31.5%Free Throw Rate31.5%

46.3%3-Point Rate46.3%

1.33Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

Neither team finished level. The game played at approximately 65.1 possessions.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.