Central Connecticut

18-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

54.3%Central Connecticut

45.7%Fairleigh Dickinson

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Connecticut -0.4

PROJECTED TOTAL140.8

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Connecticut -119

Fairleigh Dickinson

11-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCentral Connecticut 71

Projected Total140.8

Projected ScoreFairleigh Dickinson 70

Team Comparison

Central ConnecticutMetricFairleigh Dickinson

44.4MMH Power Index38.3

111.4Offensive Efficiency103.8

107.0Defensive Efficiency108.4

4.4Net Efficiency-4.6

-7.7Strength of Schedule-5.8

-0.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.7

66.3Tempo64.7

54.0%Effective FG%48.6%

15.9%Turnover Rate18.2%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %33.6%

31.3%Free Throw Rate33.1%

2.9Average Margin-3.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Connecticut HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Connecticut holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.4–38.3), offensive efficiency (111.4–103.8), defensive efficiency (107.0–108.4), net efficiency (4.4–-4.6).

Fairleigh Dickinson COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-5.8–-7.7), offensive rebounding (33.6–28.2), free throw rate (33.1–31.3).

Final

Central Connecticut

63—57

Fairleigh Dickinson

Central Connecticut by 6 • 56.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Central ConnecticutTEAM STATFairleigh Dickinson

21-52FG17-54

40.0%FG%31.0%

5-183PT4-24

28.0%3PT%17.0%

16-17FT19-23

94.0%FT%83.0%

33Rebounds38

11Offensive Rebounds17

5Assists6

7Turnovers9

5Steals2

2Blocks2

18Fouls17

Player Box Score

Central Connecticut

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Darin Smith Jr.	F	28	2-11	0-3	13-13	2	0	0	0	17
Jay Rodgers	G	27	6-10	1-1	2-2	2	3	2	0	15
Melo Sanchez	G	27	4-10	2-6	1-2	5	0	1	0	11
Max Frazier	F	35	5-9	0-1	0-0	14	1	1	0	10
Daniel James	F	28	2-5	2-3	0-0	2	0	1	2	6
James Jones	G	23	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Jayden Mott	F	4	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Elijah Parker	G	14	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Roddy Jones	G	14	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Fairleigh Dickinson

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Arthur Cox	F	22	5-12	1-5	5-6	8	0	0	0	16
Joey Niesman	G	30	2-9	1-5	7-8	4	1	1	0	12
Taeshaud Jackson	F	35	2-10	0-1	2-3	10	1	0	2	6
Cyril Martynov	C	22	3-4	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
Noah Melson	G	22	2-5	1-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
David Jevtic	G	15	2-4	0-2	0-0	4	0	0	0	4
Raysean Johnson	G	27	0-2	0-0	3-4	5	1	0	0	3
Eric Parnell	G	16	1-7	1-7	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Ras Elijah Godbolt	G	10	0-1	0-1	2-2	0	2	1	0	2
Sebastian Haubro	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

56.5Possessions56.5

111.5Offensive Efficiency100.9

100.9Defensive Efficiency111.5

10.6Net Efficiency-10.6

45.2%Effective FG%35.2%

52.4%True Shooting %43.9%

12.5%Turnover Rate15.8%

32.7%Free Throw Rate42.6%

34.6%3-Point Rate44.4%

0.71Assist / Turnover0.67

Game Summary

Central Connecticut won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 56.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.