Stetson

12-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

18.7%Stetson

81.3%Florida Gulf Coast

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFlorida Gulf Coast -10.8

PROJECTED TOTAL156.4

MODEL MONEYLINEFlorida Gulf Coast -435

Florida Gulf Coast

16-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreStetson 73

Projected Total156.4

Projected ScoreFlorida Gulf Coast 84

Team Comparison

StetsonMetricFlorida Gulf Coast

40MMH Power Index48.6

107.2Offensive Efficiency110.5

115.9Defensive Efficiency109.2

-8.7Net Efficiency1.3

-1.0Strength of Schedule-1.8

-2.9Last 10 Net Efficiency0.7

68.7Tempo70.0

53.8%Effective FG%52.1%

18.3%Turnover Rate15.7%

28.1%Offensive Rebound %32.3%

33.6%Free Throw Rate29.9%

-6.0Average Margin0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Florida Gulf Coast HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFlorida Gulf Coast holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.6–40.0), offensive efficiency (110.5–107.2), defensive efficiency (109.2–115.9), net efficiency (1.3–-8.7).

Stetson COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.0–-1.8), shooting efficiency (53.8–52.1), free throw rate (33.6–29.9).

Final

Stetson

76—78

Florida Gulf Coast

Florida Gulf Coast by 2 • 68.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

StetsonTEAM STATFlorida Gulf Coast

29-58FG31-64

50.0%FG%48.0%

8-173PT9-22

47.0%3PT%41.0%

10-13FT7-10

77.0%FT%70.0%

33Rebounds34

8Offensive Rebounds11

13Assists18

11Turnovers11

9Steals8

3Blocks9

13Fouls15

Player Box Score

Stetson

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Collin Kuhl	F	23	12-18	0-0	4-4	12	0	0	0	28
Ethan Copeland	G	40	7-15	3-6	2-2	4	1	0	0	19
Finley Sheridan	F	31	4-6	2-4	2-2	6	2	1	2	12
Alex Doyle	F	23	4-5	3-4	0-0	2	0	1	0	11
Calvin Sirmans III	G	21	1-4	0-0	2-2	2	5	3	0	4
Daniel Macgregor	G	26	1-5	0-0	0-3	2	4	4	0	2
Jake Johnson	G	21	0-4	0-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Matar Diop	F	15	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	1	0

Florida Gulf Coast

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Ellerbee	G	35	6-13	2-6	4-6	1	0	0	0	18
Michael Duax	F	34	6-12	1-2	2-2	3	4	3	0	15
J.R. Konieczny	F	34	6-14	2-4	0-0	8	1	0	1	14
Rahmir Barno	G	27	4-8	0-0	0-0	1	4	1	2	8
Isaiah Malone	F	19	3-4	0-1	1-2	4	1	0	3	7
Rory Stewart	F	5	2-3	2-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	6
Tristen Guillouette	C	16	2-3	0-0	0-0	8	2	2	3	4
George Washington III	G	9	1-3	1-3	0-0	0	2	0	0	3
Darren Williams	G	8	1-4	1-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	3
Jack Reddick	G	13	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	2	2	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.0Possessions68.0

111.8Offensive Efficiency114.7

114.7Defensive Efficiency111.8

-2.9Net Efficiency2.9

56.9%Effective FG%55.5%

59.2%True Shooting %56.7%

16.4%Turnover Rate16.0%

22.4%Free Throw Rate15.6%

29.3%3-Point Rate34.4%

1.18Assist / Turnover1.64

Game Summary

Florida Gulf Coast won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 68.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.