Tennessee State

23-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

59.7%Tennessee State

40.3%Morehead State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTennessee State -2.0

PROJECTED TOTAL155.0

MODEL MONEYLINETennessee State -148

Morehead State

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTennessee State 78

Projected Total155.0

Projected ScoreMorehead State 76

Team Comparison

Tennessee StateMetricMorehead State

55.4MMH Power Index47.3

110.9Offensive Efficiency110.8

102.7Defensive Efficiency110.0

8.2Net Efficiency0.8

-3.1Strength of Schedule-4.0

13.7Last 10 Net Efficiency3.1

72.4Tempo67.9

50.9%Effective FG%51.3%

17.0%Turnover Rate17.3%

34.8%Offensive Rebound %36.4%

34.7%Free Throw Rate37.9%

5.9Average Margin0.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Tennessee State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTennessee State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–47.3), offensive efficiency (110.9–110.8), defensive efficiency (102.7–110.0), net efficiency (8.2–0.8).

Morehead State COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (51.3–50.9), offensive rebounding (36.4–34.8), free throw rate (37.9–34.7).

Final

Tennessee State

86—94

Morehead State

Morehead State by 8 • 69.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Tennessee StateTEAM STATMorehead State

23-61FG32-53

38.0%FG%60.0%

8-223PT8-18

36.0%3PT%44.0%

32-36FT22-28

89.0%FT%79.0%

30Rebounds36

16Offensive Rebounds11

13Assists12

7Turnovers14

9Steals5

4Blocks5

25Fouls23

Player Box Score

Tennessee State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Travis Harper II	G	34	8-18	5-9	9-11	2	0	1	0	30
Aaron Nkrumah	G	36	5-15	2-7	8-9	6	2	3	1	20
Dante Harris	G	36	2-12	0-3	8-8	1	7	0	0	12
Antoine Lorick III	F	27	3-8	0-1	0-0	0	1	2	1	6
Jalen Pitre	F	27	1-2	0-0	4-4	8	1	3	0	6
Carlous Williams	F	11	2-2	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	5
Jabrion Spikes	G	8	1-2	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	0	4
Kavien Jones	F	11	1-1	0-0	1-2	4	1	0	2	3
JC Brooks	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Damon Howard Jr.	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Morehead State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josiah LeGree	G	26	7-12	4-8	7-9	3	3	0	0	25
Jon Carroll	F	29	7-10	0-0	4-5	9	0	3	0	18
Davion Cunningham	G	30	5-9	1-4	5-6	2	0	0	0	16
Chase Dawson	G	20	3-3	1-1	2-2	1	5	0	0	9
Anouar Mellouk	F	37	4-6	0-0	0-2	4	2	1	2	8
Tamaury Releford	C	11	2-3	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	2	6
George Marshall	G	26	1-6	1-3	2-2	1	2	1	0	5
Vince Dawson III	G	12	2-3	1-2	0-0	4	0	0	0	5
Tyonne Farrell	F	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	2

Advanced Game Stats

69.2Possessions69.2

124.3Offensive Efficiency135.8

135.8Defensive Efficiency124.3

-11.6Net Efficiency11.6

44.3%Effective FG%67.9%

55.1%True Shooting %70.9%

10.1%Turnover Rate20.2%

59.0%Free Throw Rate52.8%

36.1%3-Point Rate34.0%

1.86Assist / Turnover0.86

Game Summary

Morehead State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 69.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.