Arkansas-Pine Bluff

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

39.4%Arkansas-Pine Bluff

60.6%Alabama State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAlabama State -3.8

PROJECTED TOTAL157.4

MODEL MONEYLINEAlabama State -154

Alabama State

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArkansas-Pine Bluff 77

Projected Total157.4

Projected ScoreAlabama State 81

Team Comparison

Arkansas-Pine BluffMetricAlabama State

38.7MMH Power Index38

106.4Offensive Efficiency101.7

111.6Defensive Efficiency107.4

-5.2Net Efficiency-5.7

-6.0Strength of Schedule-6.2

1.3Last 10 Net Efficiency0.0

72.6Tempo71.9

51.4%Effective FG%48.2%

18.5%Turnover Rate18.2%

29.3%Offensive Rebound %32.6%

37.7%Free Throw Rate35.8%

-3.8Average Margin-4.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas-Pine Bluff HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas-Pine Bluff holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (38.7–38.0), offensive efficiency (106.4–101.7), net efficiency (-5.2–-5.7), strength of schedule (-6.0–-6.2).

Alabama State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.4–111.6), ball security (18.2–18.5), offensive rebounding (32.6–29.3).

Final

Arkansas-Pine Bluff

61—79

Alabama State

Alabama State by 18 • 72.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Arkansas-Pine BluffTEAM STATAlabama State

18-46FG28-67

39.0%FG%42.0%

7-213PT5-23

33.0%3PT%22.0%

18-25FT18-21

72.0%FT%86.0%

30Rebounds39

7Offensive Rebounds16

10Assists15

22Turnovers11

6Steals12

4Blocks3

19Fouls19

Player Box Score

Arkansas-Pine Bluff

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Quion Williams	G	39	7-17	3-6	6-8	9	3	0	2	23
Jaquan Scott	F	37	4-8	0-1	7-8	6	0	1	1	15
Trevon Payton	G	30	3-6	3-6	0-0	4	1	2	0	9
Ahmad Johnson	G	6	1-1	1-1	2-3	1	0	0	0	5
Milhan Charles	G	35	1-3	0-1	2-4	4	2	0	0	4
Anthony Sellars	G	18	2-4	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	4
Alex Mirhosseini	G	30	0-7	0-6	1-2	2	4	2	1	1
Dennis Asoro	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Kyle Brown	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Alabama State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jerquarius Stanback	F	26	7-13	1-2	4-6	6	1	4	0	19
Tyler Byrd	G	22	4-10	0-5	6-6	2	1	0	1	14
Micah Simpson	G	32	4-10	2-5	3-3	2	7	3	0	13
Tyler Mack	G	24	3-6	1-4	0-0	3	1	0	0	7
Damarien Yates	G	15	2-5	0-2	2-2	4	0	2	1	6
JaSteven Walker	F	15	1-6	1-3	2-2	8	0	1	1	5
Cameron Palesse	G	27	2-7	0-1	0-0	3	1	1	0	4
Mario Andrews	C	16	2-3	0-0	0-0	7	0	1	0	4
Asjon Anderson	G	15	2-6	0-1	0-0	0	4	0	0	4
R'Chaun King	F	8	1-1	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	3

Advanced Game Stats

72.5Possessions72.5

84.1Offensive Efficiency109.0

109.0Defensive Efficiency84.1

-24.8Net Efficiency24.8

46.7%Effective FG%45.5%

52.7%True Shooting %51.3%

30.2%Turnover Rate15.3%

54.3%Free Throw Rate31.3%

45.7%3-Point Rate34.3%

0.45Assist / Turnover1.36

Game Summary

Alabama State won by 18 points. The game played at approximately 72.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.