Miami

26-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

52.3%Miami

47.7%NC State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNC State -0.5

PROJECTED TOTAL159.6

MODEL MONEYLINEMiami -110

NC State

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMiami 80

Projected Total159.6

Projected ScoreNC State 80

Team Comparison

MiamiMetricNC State

65.5MMH Power Index60.1

117.8Offensive Efficiency118.4

103.0Defensive Efficiency108.6

14.8Net Efficiency9.8

3.6Strength of Schedule6.4

3.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.9

69.2Tempo70.2

55.5%Effective FG%55.1%

16.2%Turnover Rate13.1%

37.3%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

37.9%Free Throw Rate35.7%

10.3Average Margin6.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Miami HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMiami holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.5–60.1), defensive efficiency (103.0–108.6), net efficiency (14.8–9.8), recent form (3.6–-11.9).

NC State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (118.4–117.8), strength of schedule (6.4–3.6), ball security (13.1–16.2).

Final

Miami

77—76

NC State

Miami by 1 • 64.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MiamiTEAM STATNC State

32-67FG27-55

48.0%FG%49.0%

3-173PT9-24

18.0%3PT%38.0%

10-20FT13-15

50.0%FT%87.0%

40Rebounds29

20Offensive Rebounds8

8Assists12

9Turnovers10

7Steals6

2Blocks8

11Fouls15

Player Box Score

Miami

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Malik Reneau	F	36	12-19	1-2	1-2	6	1	1	1	26
Shelton Henderson	F	35	8-13	0-4	1-4	9	1	2	0	17
Tre Donaldson	G	39	5-17	0-5	4-5	5	4	2	0	14
Tru Washington	G	20	4-10	2-3	3-3	6	0	0	0	13
Dante Allen	G	22	3-5	0-1	0-2	2	1	1	0	6
Ernest Udeh Jr.	C	30	0-1	0-0	1-4	8	1	1	1	1
Timotej Malovec	F	13	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Salih Altuntas	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Noam Dovrat	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

NC State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ven-Allen Lubin	F	32	7-9	0-0	3-4	9	0	0	4	17
Matt Able	G	22	6-10	3-6	2-2	1	0	0	1	17
Paul McNeil Jr.	G	31	5-8	4-7	0-0	4	0	0	2	14
Darrion Williams	F	33	5-12	1-5	0-0	3	3	1	1	11
Quadir Copeland	G	26	3-10	1-5	4-5	3	5	1	0	11
Terrance Arceneaux	G	14	1-1	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	0	4
Tre Holloman	G	33	0-5	0-1	2-2	1	4	4	0	2
Musa Sagnia	F	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.8Possessions64.8

118.8Offensive Efficiency117.3

117.3Defensive Efficiency118.8

1.5Net Efficiency-1.5

50.0%Effective FG%57.3%

50.3%True Shooting %61.2%

13.7%Turnover Rate15.6%

29.9%Free Throw Rate27.3%

25.4%3-Point Rate43.6%

0.89Assist / Turnover1.20

Game Summary

Miami won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 64.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in True Shooting %, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.