Hofstra

24-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.8%Hofstra

62.2%UNC Wilmington

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUNC Wilmington -4.0

PROJECTED TOTAL143.7

MODEL MONEYLINEUNC Wilmington -165

UNC Wilmington

27-7

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreHofstra 70

Projected Total143.7

Projected ScoreUNC Wilmington 74

Team Comparison

HofstraMetricUNC Wilmington

59.3MMH Power Index59.2

114.0Offensive Efficiency114.1

100.9Defensive Efficiency101.7

13.1Net Efficiency12.4

-2.9Strength of Schedule-1.5

14.0Last 10 Net Efficiency5.5

66.2Tempo66.9

52.2%Effective FG%51.1%

16.1%Turnover Rate14.8%

35.0%Offensive Rebound %35.8%

32.0%Free Throw Rate41.7%

8.7Average Margin8.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Hofstra HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMHofstra holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.3–59.2), defensive efficiency (100.9–101.7), net efficiency (13.1–12.4), recent form (14.0–5.5).

UNC Wilmington COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (114.1–114.0), strength of schedule (-1.5–-2.9), ball security (14.8–16.1).

Final

Hofstra

66—70

UNC Wilmington

UNC Wilmington by 4 • 61.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

HofstraTEAM STATUNC Wilmington

20-53FG22-48

38.0%FG%46.0%

9-243PT4-14

38.0%3PT%29.0%

17-23FT22-36

74.0%FT%61.0%

34Rebounds36

10Offensive Rebounds10

6Assists10

7Turnovers6

3Steals3

2Blocks1

21Fouls20

Player Box Score

Hofstra

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cruz Davis	G	40	7-23	3-9	5-6	2	2	1	0	22
Preston Edmead	G	35	6-13	3-6	6-7	4	3	1	0	21
Joshua DeCady	F	31	5-9	2-5	2-2	5	0	0	1	14
Biggie Patterson	G	10	1-4	1-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Victory Onuetu	F	13	0-0	0-0	2-4	7	0	0	0	2
Alex Tsynkevich	C	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
German Plotnikov	G	35	0-0	0-0	1-2	3	1	0	0	1
Silas Sunday	F	24	0-1	0-0	1-2	5	0	1	1	1
Joshua Aaron Reaves	G	9	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

UNC Wilmington

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Patrick Wessler	F	28	7-14	0-0	4-4	9	0	1	1	18
Christian May	G	31	4-9	2-6	3-4	7	3	1	0	13
Madison Durr	G	27	1-3	0-1	9-14	5	2	0	0	11
Nolan Hodge	G	25	3-8	2-5	2-3	3	1	0	0	10
Greedy Williams	G	27	3-4	0-0	1-4	4	0	1	0	7
Makoi Mabor Makoi	F	12	3-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
Noah Ross	G	35	1-5	0-0	1-2	4	4	0	0	3
Jahnathan Lamothe	G	15	0-2	0-2	2-5	0	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

61.0Possessions61.0

108.2Offensive Efficiency114.8

114.8Defensive Efficiency108.2

-6.6Net Efficiency6.6

46.2%Effective FG%50.0%

51.6%True Shooting %53.8%

11.5%Turnover Rate9.8%

43.4%Free Throw Rate75.0%

45.3%3-Point Rate29.2%

0.86Assist / Turnover1.67

Game Summary

UNC Wilmington won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 61.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.