Portland State

20-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

28.9%Portland State

71.1%Northern Colorado

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Colorado -5.6

PROJECTED TOTAL155.6

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Colorado -246

Northern Colorado

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePortland State 75

Projected Total155.6

Projected ScoreNorthern Colorado 81

Team Comparison

Portland StateMetricNorthern Colorado

50.2MMH Power Index53.7

109.3Offensive Efficiency116.0

100.2Defensive Efficiency107.6

9.1Net Efficiency8.4

-5.6Strength of Schedule-4.3

0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency10.8

70.1Tempo71.1

51.7%Effective FG%56.9%

16.6%Turnover Rate15.3%

31.6%Offensive Rebound %27.9%

36.8%Free Throw Rate27.8%

6.4Average Margin6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Colorado HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY71.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Colorado holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.7–50.2), offensive efficiency (116.0–109.3), strength of schedule (-4.3–-5.6), recent form (10.8–0.4).

Portland State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (100.2–107.6), net efficiency (9.1–8.4), offensive rebounding (31.6–27.9).

Final

Portland State

65—77

Northern Colorado

Northern Colorado by 12 • 69.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Portland StateTEAM STATNorthern Colorado

21-55FG24-57

38.0%FG%42.0%

7-203PT8-26

35.0%3PT%31.0%

16-26FT21-27

62.0%FT%78.0%

34Rebounds41

6Offensive Rebounds7

8Assists16

8Turnovers6

4Steals5

4Blocks2

20Fouls21

Player Box Score

Portland State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaylin Henderson	G	38	10-23	2-7	7-9	5	1	1	0	29
Terri Miller Jr.	F	28	6-12	4-7	2-6	4	2	1	0	18
Tre-Vaughn Minott	C	29	2-3	0-0	3-4	11	1	1	2	7
Keyon Kensie Jr.	G	29	2-6	1-2	1-2	0	1	0	0	6
Kelcy Phipps	G	25	1-6	0-2	3-5	7	1	1	1	5
Alex Dupre	G	21	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	2	0	1	0
Brycen Long	G	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Brayden Barron	F	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Isaiah Williams	G	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Sebastian Tidor	G	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Samuel Stewart IV	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Charles Chukwu	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Mozae Downing-Rivers	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Northern Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Quinn Denker	G	38	7-14	1-3	8-10	8	7	2	0	23
Egan Shields	C	24	2-5	0-0	8-10	5	1	0	0	12
Brock Wisne	F	37	5-11	0-3	1-1	10	2	1	0	11
Ring Nyeri	F	23	4-7	2-3	0-2	3	2	1	1	10
Ibu Yamazaki	F	18	2-5	2-4	4-4	3	0	0	0	10
Zach Bloch	G	36	3-9	3-9	0-0	4	1	1	0	9
Vincent Delano	G	23	1-4	0-3	0-0	5	3	0	1	2
Ariik Mawien	G	1	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.1Possessions69.1

94.1Offensive Efficiency111.4

111.4Defensive Efficiency94.1

-17.4Net Efficiency17.4

44.5%Effective FG%49.1%

48.3%True Shooting %55.1%

11.5%Turnover Rate8.7%

47.3%Free Throw Rate47.4%

36.4%3-Point Rate45.6%

1.00Assist / Turnover2.67

Game Summary

Northern Colorado won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 69.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.