North Florida

7-25

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.0%North Florida

79.0%Jacksonville

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADJacksonville -10.4

PROJECTED TOTAL160.8

MODEL MONEYLINEJacksonville -376

Jacksonville

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Florida 75

Projected Total160.8

Projected ScoreJacksonville 86

Team Comparison

North FloridaMetricJacksonville

36.3MMH Power Index43.6

109.4Offensive Efficiency109.8

121.1Defensive Efficiency110.3

-11.7Net Efficiency-0.5

-0.6Strength of Schedule-4.8

-9.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.2

72.8Tempo66.6

53.6%Effective FG%51.7%

17.2%Turnover Rate16.9%

26.6%Offensive Rebound %33.6%

29.5%Free Throw Rate33.9%

-8.6Average Margin-0.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Jacksonville HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMJacksonville holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (43.6–36.3), offensive efficiency (109.8–109.4), defensive efficiency (110.3–121.1), net efficiency (-0.5–-11.7).

North Florida COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.6–-4.8), shooting efficiency (53.6–51.7).

Final

North Florida

56—63

Jacksonville

Jacksonville by 7 • 58.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North FloridaTEAM STATJacksonville

23-51FG22-51

45.0%FG%43.0%

7-193PT8-23

37.0%3PT%35.0%

3-6FT11-14

50.0%FT%79.0%

28Rebounds25

9Offensive Rebounds7

11Assists9

13Turnovers8

3Steals7

—Blocks4

12Fouls11

Player Box Score

North Florida

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Kamrin Oriol	G	38	7-17	2-8	0-0	2	3	1	16
Kent Jackson	G	35	6-13	3-6	0-0	9	1	1	15
Dalton Gayman	F	24	4-6	1-1	1-4	3	4	0	10
Mason Lee	F	26	4-5	1-2	0-0	7	1	0	9
Nestor Dyachok	F	20	1-4	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	4
Trey Cady	F	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	2
BJ Plummer	F	24	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0
Devin Hines	G	16	0-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0
Dante Oliver	G	12	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	1	0

Jacksonville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jason Thirdkill Jr.	F	40	6-10	2-5	5-5	9	0	1	1	19
Evan Sterck	G	28	6-10	3-6	2-2	1	2	2	0	17
Jaylen Jones	G	29	4-10	1-5	0-0	5	2	2	0	9
Donovan Rivers	F	28	2-6	0-0	3-5	3	1	0	1	7
Chris Lockett Jr.	G	24	2-9	1-5	0-0	2	3	2	0	5
Hayden Wood	G	30	1-5	1-2	0-0	3	1	0	2	3
Charles Caporaso	C	3	1-1	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	3
Allen Udemadu	F	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Chris Arias	G	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

58.3Possessions58.3

96.1Offensive Efficiency108.1

108.1Defensive Efficiency96.1

-12.0Net Efficiency12.0

52.0%Effective FG%51.0%

52.0%True Shooting %54.6%

22.5%Turnover Rate13.6%

11.8%Free Throw Rate27.5%

37.3%3-Point Rate45.1%

0.85Assist / Turnover1.13

Game Summary

Jacksonville won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 58.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.