Western Carolina

15-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

57.0%Western Carolina

43.0%Chattanooga

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADChattanooga -0.0

PROJECTED TOTAL156.9

MODEL MONEYLINEWestern Carolina -133

Chattanooga

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWestern Carolina 78

Projected Total156.9

Projected ScoreChattanooga 78

Team Comparison

Western CarolinaMetricChattanooga

53MMH Power Index45.9

112.6Offensive Efficiency112.7

111.0Defensive Efficiency110.5

1.6Net Efficiency2.2

-0.9Strength of Schedule-4.4

13.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

69.7Tempo68.1

51.1%Effective FG%55.1%

16.4%Turnover Rate14.1%

36.1%Offensive Rebound %23.5%

30.8%Free Throw Rate29.2%

1.1Average Margin1.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Chattanooga HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMChattanooga holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (112.7–112.6), defensive efficiency (110.5–111.0), net efficiency (2.2–1.6), shooting efficiency (55.1–51.1).

Western Carolina COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (53.0–45.9), strength of schedule (-0.9–-4.4), recent form (13.1–-0.1).

Final

Western Carolina

81—76

Chattanooga

Western Carolina by 5 • 68.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Western CarolinaTEAM STATChattanooga

25-66FG31-63

38.0%FG%49.0%

11-343PT8-28

32.0%3PT%29.0%

20-25FT6-6

80.0%FT%100.0%

41Rebounds26

18Offensive Rebounds6

12Assists19

10Turnovers8

4Steals7

2Blocks4

17Fouls20

Player Box Score

Western Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Julien Soumaoro	G	32	9-15	6-10	1-1	2	2	0	0	25
Tidjiane Dioumassi	G	28	5-12	3-6	3-4	4	1	0	0	16
Marcus Kell	F	24	3-10	1-8	4-4	4	1	0	0	11
Cord Stansberry	G	26	2-10	0-4	6-6	5	1	0	0	10
Justin Johnson	G	16	3-6	0-0	4-4	2	3	3	2	10
Samuel Dada	F	27	2-4	0-0	2-2	11	0	0	0	6
Tahlan Pettway	G	27	1-8	1-6	0-0	4	4	1	0	3
Tayeshaun Smith	F	10	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Abdulai Fanta Kabba	C	10	0-0	0-0	0-4	3	0	0	0	0

Chattanooga

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Frison	G	38	8-13	4-7	0-0	3	6	0	0	20
Teddy Washington Jr.	G	23	5-12	1-2	2-2	1	0	3	0	13
Tate Darner	G	32	5-11	0-5	2-2	4	3	2	0	12
Collin Mulholland	F	21	4-11	1-6	0-0	3	6	0	0	9
Brennan Watkins	G	27	3-7	0-3	2-2	6	2	2	0	8
Josh Bowman	F	13	3-4	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	3	6
Jikari Johnson	G	9	2-2	2-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	6
Billy Smith	G	13	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	1	2
Parker Robison	G	15	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Makai Richards	C	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.9Possessions68.9

117.6Offensive Efficiency110.3

110.3Defensive Efficiency117.6

7.3Net Efficiency-7.3

46.2%Effective FG%55.6%

52.0%True Shooting %57.7%

14.3%Turnover Rate11.8%

37.9%Free Throw Rate9.5%

51.5%3-Point Rate44.4%

1.20Assist / Turnover2.38

Game Summary

Western Carolina won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 68.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.