Little Rock

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

48.7%Little Rock

51.3%Eastern Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADEastern Illinois -2.0

PROJECTED TOTAL140.9

MODEL MONEYLINEEastern Illinois -105

Eastern Illinois

13-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLittle Rock 69

Projected Total140.9

Projected ScoreEastern Illinois 71

Team Comparison

Little RockMetricEastern Illinois

44MMH Power Index39.9

103.0Offensive Efficiency99.6

108.2Defensive Efficiency104.4

-5.2Net Efficiency-4.8

0.5Strength of Schedule-2.4

-0.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.7

68.5Tempo67.4

50.3%Effective FG%47.5%

18.7%Turnover Rate18.5%

32.1%Offensive Rebound %29.3%

28.6%Free Throw Rate33.7%

-3.6Average Margin-3.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Little Rock HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLittle Rock holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.0–39.9), offensive efficiency (103.0–99.6), strength of schedule (0.5–-2.4), recent form (-0.7–-4.7).

Eastern Illinois COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.4–108.2), net efficiency (-4.8–-5.2), ball security (18.5–18.7).

Final

Little Rock

72—78

Eastern Illinois

Eastern Illinois by 6 • 66.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Little RockTEAM STATEastern Illinois

27-60FG25-64

45.0%FG%39.0%

7-183PT6-16

39.0%3PT%38.0%

11-18FT22-30

61.0%FT%73.0%

34Rebounds43

13Offensive Rebounds20

16Assists13

11Turnovers8

4Steals7

4Blocks3

20Fouls14

Player Box Score

Little Rock

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Truman Claytor IV	F	27	6-10	3-5	2-2	2	1	2	1	17
Kachi Nzeh	F	38	5-9	2-5	1-2	7	1	0	1	13
Johnathan Lawson	G	37	4-15	1-4	3-4	7	4	0	0	12
Braxton Bayless	G	34	4-12	1-4	3-7	3	6	1	0	12
Cameron Wallace	F	30	4-6	0-0	2-3	7	2	1	0	10
Tuongthach Gatkek	F	25	3-6	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	2	6
Caleb Pennyfeather	F	5	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Tracy Steele Jr.	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Eastern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Meechie White	G	32	5-12	3-4	6-6	2	3	1	0	19
Zion Fruster	G	37	6-14	1-4	4-6	4	6	4	0	17
Kooper Jacobi	F	35	4-7	1-1	1-4	8	1	0	0	10
Nazareth Fisher	F	27	4-7	0-0	2-2	9	2	0	1	10
Terry McMorris	F	29	2-9	0-1	4-6	6	0	1	2	8
Prince Johnson	F	13	2-4	0-0	3-4	6	0	0	0	7
Markus Blackwell	G	13	1-4	1-2	2-2	0	1	0	0	5
Preston Turner	G	14	1-7	0-4	0-0	2	0	1	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

66.4Possessions66.4

108.4Offensive Efficiency117.5

117.5Defensive Efficiency108.4

-9.0Net Efficiency9.0

50.8%Effective FG%43.8%

52.5%True Shooting %49.8%

16.5%Turnover Rate12.1%

30.0%Free Throw Rate46.9%

30.0%3-Point Rate25.0%

1.45Assist / Turnover1.63

Game Summary

Eastern Illinois won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 66.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.