Toledo

19-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

48.7%Toledo

51.3%Bowling Green

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBowling Green -3.3

PROJECTED TOTAL158.5

MODEL MONEYLINEBowling Green -105

Bowling Green

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreToledo 78

Projected Total158.5

Projected ScoreBowling Green 81

Team Comparison

ToledoMetricBowling Green

58.8MMH Power Index54.7

116.0Offensive Efficiency112.6

109.6Defensive Efficiency99.1

6.4Net Efficiency13.5

2.3Strength of Schedule-4.7

10.2Last 10 Net Efficiency1.4

69.8Tempo72.2

55.1%Effective FG%53.4%

14.6%Turnover Rate15.9%

30.4%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

30.3%Free Throw Rate38.7%

4.5Average Margin9.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Toledo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMToledo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.8–54.7), offensive efficiency (116.0–112.6), strength of schedule (2.3–-4.7), recent form (10.2–1.4).

Bowling Green COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (99.1–109.6), net efficiency (13.5–6.4), free throw rate (38.7–30.3).

Final

Toledo

70—80

Bowling Green

Bowling Green by 10 • 65.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ToledoTEAM STATBowling Green

25-64FG28-59

39.0%FG%47.0%

10-243PT11-21

42.0%3PT%52.0%

10-13FT13-19

77.0%FT%68.0%

40Rebounds36

14Offensive Rebounds9

14Assists13

9Turnovers7

6Steals7

3Blocks6

16Fouls14

Player Box Score

Toledo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sonny Wilson	G	39	8-14	2-3	2-3	7	3	1	0	20
Leroy Blyden Jr.	G	36	5-16	3-10	0-0	4	5	2	0	13
Sean Craig	F	29	3-9	2-4	4-6	4	3	1	0	12
Will James Jr.	G	22	3-5	2-2	2-2	5	1	2	0	10
Mynor Strong	G	17	1-3	1-1	2-2	3	0	0	0	5
Kyler Vanderjagt	G	19	2-9	0-4	0-0	0	2	0	0	4
Jaylan Ouwinga	F	13	2-3	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	2	4
Austin Parks	C	25	1-5	0-0	0-0	9	0	0	1	2

Bowling Green

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Javontae Campbell	G	39	8-13	1-2	2-2	4	5	3	0	19
Sam Towns	F	38	5-8	4-6	2-2	5	3	1	2	16
Josiah Shackelford	G	24	5-16	3-5	3-5	7	2	0	0	16
Aiden Goins	F	10	3-9	0-2	4-5	4	0	0	0	10
Javon Ruffin	G	15	2-3	2-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	6
Justin Thomas	G	29	2-4	1-1	0-1	5	2	3	0	5
Mayar Wol	F	23	2-5	0-2	0-0	4	0	0	1	4
Troy Glover II	F	22	1-1	0-0	2-4	5	0	0	3	4

Advanced Game Stats

65.6Possessions65.6

106.7Offensive Efficiency122.0

122.0Defensive Efficiency106.7

-15.2Net Efficiency15.2

46.9%Effective FG%56.8%

49.9%True Shooting %58.8%

13.8%Turnover Rate10.6%

20.3%Free Throw Rate32.2%

37.5%3-Point Rate35.6%

1.56Assist / Turnover1.86

Game Summary

Bowling Green won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 65.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.