Idaho State

13-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.0%Idaho State

79.0%Idaho

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIdaho -9.7

PROJECTED TOTAL152.7

MODEL MONEYLINEIdaho -376

Idaho

21-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIdaho State 72

Projected Total152.7

Projected ScoreIdaho 81

Team Comparison

Idaho StateMetricIdaho

45.9MMH Power Index53.2

111.0Offensive Efficiency111.6

113.4Defensive Efficiency104.3

-2.4Net Efficiency7.3

0.2Strength of Schedule-2.4

-9.6Last 10 Net Efficiency4.5

67.1Tempo69.7

52.2%Effective FG%52.8%

16.5%Turnover Rate15.1%

33.9%Offensive Rebound %29.5%

39.1%Free Throw Rate34.6%

-1.6Average Margin5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Idaho HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIdaho holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.2–45.9), offensive efficiency (111.6–111.0), defensive efficiency (104.3–113.4), net efficiency (7.3–-2.4).

Idaho State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.2–-2.4), offensive rebounding (33.9–29.5), free throw rate (39.1–34.6).

Final

Idaho State

69—69

Idaho

Tied • 72.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Idaho StateTEAM STATIdaho

23-65FG23-65

35.0%FG%35.0%

7-273PT7-27

26.0%3PT%26.0%

16-18FT16-18

89.0%FT%89.0%

30Rebounds30

11Offensive Rebounds11

8Assists8

10Turnovers10

9Steals9

1Blocks1

16Fouls16

Player Box Score

Idaho State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Caleb Van De Griend	F	20	5-10	0-3	3-3	5	0	2	0	13
Martin Kheil	G	24	4-10	3-7	0-0	4	0	0	0	11
Connor Hollenbeck	F	27	4-7	1-2	0-0	2	1	1	1	9
Gus Etchison	PG	19	2-10	0-4	4-5	2	4	0	0	8
Lachlan Brewer	G	28	3-8	1-4	0-0	3	1	1	0	7
Evan Otten	F	15	2-4	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	6
Louis Bond	G	6	0-0	0-0	4-4	2	1	1	0	4
Jamison Guerra	PG	19	1-8	1-3	0-0	1	1	2	0	3
Quin Patterson	G	6	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Cheikh Sow	G	19	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	2	0	2
Blake Daberkow	F	4	0-2	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Kasen Carpenter	G	2	0-1	0-1	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Landen Birley	G	11	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Idaho

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Caleb Van De Griend	F	20	5-10	0-3	3-3	5	0	2	0	13
Martin Kheil	G	24	4-10	3-7	0-0	4	0	0	0	11
Connor Hollenbeck	F	27	4-7	1-2	0-0	2	1	1	1	9
Gus Etchison	PG	19	2-10	0-4	4-5	2	4	0	0	8
Lachlan Brewer	G	28	3-8	1-4	0-0	3	1	1	0	7
Evan Otten	F	15	2-4	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	6
Louis Bond	G	6	0-0	0-0	4-4	2	1	1	0	4
Jamison Guerra	PG	19	1-8	1-3	0-0	1	1	2	0	3
Quin Patterson	G	6	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Cheikh Sow	G	19	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	2	0	2
Blake Daberkow	F	4	0-2	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Kasen Carpenter	G	2	0-1	0-1	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Landen Birley	G	11	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.6Possessions72.6

95.0Offensive Efficiency95.0

95.0Defensive Efficiency95.0

0.0Net Efficiency0.0

40.8%Effective FG%40.8%

46.9%True Shooting %46.9%

13.8%Turnover Rate13.8%

27.7%Free Throw Rate27.7%

41.5%3-Point Rate41.5%

0.80Assist / Turnover0.80

Game Summary

Neither team finished level. The game played at approximately 72.6 possessions.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.