New Mexico State

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.5%New Mexico State

62.5%Jacksonville State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADJacksonville State -4.1

PROJECTED TOTAL144.6

MODEL MONEYLINEJacksonville State -167

Jacksonville State

15-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNew Mexico State 70

Projected Total144.6

Projected ScoreJacksonville State 74

Team Comparison

New Mexico StateMetricJacksonville State

51.2MMH Power Index51.2

108.9Offensive Efficiency108.2

104.5Defensive Efficiency101.8

4.4Net Efficiency6.4

-0.7Strength of Schedule-2.3

-2.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.3

68.9Tempo67.2

48.6%Effective FG%51.0%

15.2%Turnover Rate17.0%

33.1%Offensive Rebound %31.3%

37.0%Free Throw Rate44.5%

3.1Average Margin4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Jacksonville State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMJacksonville State holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (101.8–104.5), net efficiency (6.4–4.4), recent form (-0.3–-2.0), shooting efficiency (51.0–48.6).

New Mexico State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (108.9–108.2), strength of schedule (-0.7–-2.3), ball security (15.2–17.0).

Final

New Mexico State

79—70

Jacksonville State

New Mexico State by 9 • 65.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

New Mexico StateTEAM STATJacksonville State

22-51FG24-65

43.0%FG%37.0%

9-243PT9-26

38.0%3PT%35.0%

26-31FT13-19

84.0%FT%68.0%

42Rebounds33

9Offensive Rebounds10

16Assists9

8Turnovers3

1Steals4

4Blocks1

19Fouls18

Player Box Score

New Mexico State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jayland Randall	G	13	7-12	5-7	1-1	1	0	0	0	20
Jemel Jones	G	27	4-7	2-3	6-7	3	3	0	0	16
Julius Mims	F	32	4-8	0-1	5-6	17	1	0	1	13
Elijah Elliott	G	22	0-3	0-2	12-12	3	4	0	0	12
Jae'Coby Osborne	F	24	2-2	0-0	2-2	5	0	0	2	6
Anthony Wrzeszcz	G	19	2-6	1-5	0-0	1	2	1	1	5
Gabe Pickens	G	26	2-5	0-2	0-3	1	3	0	0	4
Chris Terrell	G	14	1-3	1-2	0-0	1	3	0	0	3
Kyrese Mullen	F	16	0-4	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Augustine Ekwe	C	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	0

Jacksonville State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jacoby Hill	G	35	8-16	2-7	3-3	3	1	1	0	21
Marcus Fitzgerald Jr.	G	31	5-12	3-7	1-2	3	0	0	0	14
AC Bryant	G	21	4-8	2-4	1-2	2	2	1	0	11
Jaye Nash	G	31	3-9	1-3	3-5	2	3	0	0	10
Mostapha El Moutaouakkil	G	30	3-13	0-3	3-5	6	2	0	0	9
Toby Nnadozie	G	6	1-3	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Iaroslav Niagu	F	25	0-0	0-0	2-2	5	0	0	0	2
Emondrek Erkins-Ford	F	18	0-3	0-0	0-0	3	1	1	1	0
Aitor Anabitarte	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.9Possessions65.9

119.9Offensive Efficiency106.2

106.2Defensive Efficiency119.9

13.7Net Efficiency-13.7

52.0%Effective FG%43.8%

60.1%True Shooting %47.3%

12.4%Turnover Rate4.5%

60.8%Free Throw Rate29.2%

47.1%3-Point Rate40.0%

2.00Assist / Turnover3.00

Game Summary

New Mexico State won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 65.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.