Bellarmine

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.6%Bellarmine

83.4%Austin Peay

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAustin Peay -12.5

PROJECTED TOTAL162.6

MODEL MONEYLINEAustin Peay -502

Austin Peay

22-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBellarmine 75

Projected Total162.6

Projected ScoreAustin Peay 88

Team Comparison

BellarmineMetricAustin Peay

44.9MMH Power Index54.8

119.6Offensive Efficiency115.0

122.1Defensive Efficiency103.1

-2.5Net Efficiency11.9

-2.8Strength of Schedule-5.8

0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency8.1

66.9Tempo71.0

60.0%Effective FG%53.9%

15.3%Turnover Rate15.3%

22.7%Offensive Rebound %30.3%

35.3%Free Throw Rate39.0%

-1.7Average Margin8.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Austin Peay HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAustin Peay holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.8–44.9), defensive efficiency (103.1–122.1), net efficiency (11.9–-2.5), recent form (8.1–0.3).

Bellarmine COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (119.6–115.0), strength of schedule (-2.8–-5.8), shooting efficiency (60.0–53.9).

Final

Bellarmine

70—90

Austin Peay

Austin Peay by 20 • 60.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BellarmineTEAM STATAustin Peay

25-55FG28-48

45.0%FG%58.0%

9-203PT10-19

45.0%3PT%53.0%

11-12FT24-28

92.0%FT%86.0%

21Rebounds31

8Offensive Rebounds9

12Assists22

6Turnovers10

3Steals4

5Blocks5

24Fouls13

Player Box Score

Bellarmine

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jack Karasinski	F	29	10-18	4-6	6-6	4	1	0	0	30
Tyler Doyle	G	22	3-6	0-0	2-2	4	2	1	0	8
Jacob Wassler	C	20	3-4	2-3	0-0	1	0	0	2	8
Grant Whitaker	G	12	3-4	1-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	7
Brian Waddell	F	23	3-8	0-1	0-0	5	1	0	1	6
Sam Donald	F	34	1-3	1-3	0-0	1	3	1	1	3
Donovan Hunter	F	13	1-3	1-1	0-0	2	1	0	1	3
Kenyon Goodin	G	24	0-4	0-2	2-2	1	1	0	0	2
Grant Neal	G	1	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Michael Wilson Jr.	F	5	0-1	0-1	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Myles Watkins	G	15	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	1	1	0	0
Darrius Bolden	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Tommy Clark	G	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Austin Peay

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Collin Parker	F	36	8-14	2-3	4-5	7	4	1	2	22
Zyree Collins	PG	32	2-9	1-4	11-11	4	14	1	0	16
Anton Brookshire	PG	26	4-6	4-6	1-2	2	0	0	0	13
Ja'Corey Robinson	PG	27	5-5	0-0	1-2	4	1	2	0	11
Tate McCubbin	G	24	3-7	3-6	2-2	1	2	0	1	11
Rashaud Marshall	F	22	3-4	0-0	5-6	2	0	0	1	11
Creighton Morisch	F	18	2-2	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	1	4
Travis Torain	G	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Tyler Wagner	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.5Possessions60.5

115.7Offensive Efficiency148.8

148.8Defensive Efficiency115.7

-33.1Net Efficiency33.1

53.6%Effective FG%68.8%

57.7%True Shooting %73.4%

10.2%Turnover Rate16.1%

21.8%Free Throw Rate58.3%

36.4%3-Point Rate39.6%

2.00Assist / Turnover2.20

Game Summary

Austin Peay won by 20 points. The game played at approximately 60.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.