UC Santa Barbara

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

50.9%UC Santa Barbara

49.1%Cal Poly

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Santa Barbara -0.6

PROJECTED TOTAL162.8

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Santa Barbara -104

Cal Poly

14-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Santa Barbara 82

Projected Total162.8

Projected ScoreCal Poly 81

Team Comparison

UC Santa BarbaraMetricCal Poly

51.4MMH Power Index46.5

113.2Offensive Efficiency107.2

106.1Defensive Efficiency111.0

7.1Net Efficiency-3.8

-2.0Strength of Schedule1.7

-1.7Last 10 Net Efficiency2.4

68.5Tempo76.6

54.8%Effective FG%52.2%

18.7%Turnover Rate19.8%

32.5%Offensive Rebound %29.9%

37.9%Free Throw Rate35.8%

4.8Average Margin-2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Santa Barbara HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Santa Barbara holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.4–46.5), offensive efficiency (113.2–107.2), defensive efficiency (106.1–111.0), net efficiency (7.1–-3.8).

Cal Poly COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.7–-2.0), recent form (2.4–-1.7).

Final

UC Santa Barbara

79—89

Cal Poly

Cal Poly by 10 • 66.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC Santa BarbaraTEAM STATCal Poly

26-59FG29-55

44.0%FG%53.0%

13-343PT10-27

38.0%3PT%37.0%

14-19FT21-26

74.0%FT%81.0%

31Rebounds35

10Offensive Rebounds8

11Assists12

8Turnovers8

3Steals3

1Blocks4

21Fouls17

Player Box Score

UC Santa Barbara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zion Sensley	G	35	8-16	4-10	1-1	9	0	0	0	21
Aidan Mahaney	G	33	8-13	3-8	2-3	0	2	0	0	21
Colin Smith	F	34	4-9	3-7	6-8	6	3	1	1	17
CJ Shaw	G	36	4-14	2-6	3-3	2	3	1	0	13
Marvin McGhee IV	G	25	1-3	1-3	2-2	6	1	1	0	5
Hosana Kitenge	F	22	1-3	0-0	0-1	3	2	0	0	2
Luke Zuffelato	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Michael Simcoe	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Koat Keat Tong	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Zachiah Clark	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-1	0	0	0	0	0

Cal Poly

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Peter Bandelj	G	35	5-11	2-6	6-6	4	2	1	1	18
Hamad Mousa	G	32	6-10	1-3	4-5	7	2	0	1	17
Cayden Ward	G	33	4-10	1-5	5-6	8	2	0	1	14
Guzman Vasilic	G	28	4-5	2-3	1-3	1	2	0	0	11
Jess Esso Essis	G	11	1-2	1-2	3-3	0	1	1	0	6
Ali Assran	F	9	3-3	0-0	0-1	1	0	0	1	6
Austin Goode	F	23	2-4	1-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	5
Jackson Mosley	PG	14	2-5	1-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	5
Troy Plumtree	F	13	1-4	0-1	2-2	3	1	1	0	4
Jake Davis	G	2	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3

Advanced Game Stats

66.7Possessions66.7

118.4Offensive Efficiency133.4

133.4Defensive Efficiency118.4

-15.0Net Efficiency15.0

55.1%Effective FG%61.8%

58.1%True Shooting %66.1%

12.1%Turnover Rate11.9%

32.2%Free Throw Rate47.3%

57.6%3-Point Rate49.1%

1.38Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

Cal Poly won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 66.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.