Virginia

30-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

49.5%Virginia

50.5%Ohio State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADOhio State -0.2

PROJECTED TOTAL152.8

MODEL MONEYLINEOhio State -102

Ohio State

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVirginia 76

Projected Total152.8

Projected ScoreOhio State 76

Team Comparison

VirginiaMetricOhio State

68.9MMH Power Index64.5

119.0Offensive Efficiency118.1

101.8Defensive Efficiency108.1

17.2Net Efficiency10.0

5.2Strength of Schedule6.4

6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency6.3

67.6Tempo67.2

55.0%Effective FG%56.9%

16.0%Turnover Rate15.3%

37.4%Offensive Rebound %30.7%

33.2%Free Throw Rate38.3%

11.6Average Margin6.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Virginia HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVirginia holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (68.9–64.5), offensive efficiency (119.0–118.1), defensive efficiency (101.8–108.1), net efficiency (17.2–10.0).

Ohio State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.4–5.2), shooting efficiency (56.9–55.0), ball security (15.3–16.0).

Final

Virginia

70—66

Ohio State

Virginia by 4 • 65.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VirginiaTEAM STATOhio State

21-50FG27-60

42.0%FG%45.0%

6-183PT6-14

33.0%3PT%43.0%

22-32FT6-9

69.0%FT%67.0%

41Rebounds26

12Offensive Rebounds6

9Assists9

12Turnovers8

5Steals7

6Blocks3

12Fouls22

Player Box Score

Virginia

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Malik Thomas	G	22	4-10	2-5	3-4	6	2	0	0	13
Sam Lewis	G	28	2-6	1-2	7-9	3	0	1	0	12
Chance Mallory	G	23	3-6	1-2	5-7	3	1	0	0	12
Ugonna Onyenso	C	22	2-5	0-1	4-7	10	1	1	4	8
Dallin Hall	G	31	3-6	0-2	1-2	1	1	1	0	7
Thijs De Ridder	F	26	2-7	0-2	2-3	6	1	0	1	6
Devin Tillis	F	14	2-4	1-3	0-0	3	2	0	0	5
Johann Grunloh	C	19	2-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	1	4
Jacari White	G	15	1-3	1-1	0-0	3	1	1	0	3

Ohio State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bruce Thornton	G	38	12-21	2-4	2-4	4	3	3	1	28
Amare Bynum	F	33	5-7	3-4	2-2	6	0	1	0	15
Christoph Tilly	C	26	4-12	1-3	2-3	3	2	1	2	11
Devin Royal	F	33	2-12	0-2	0-0	5	0	0	0	4
Taison Chatman	G	31	2-5	0-1	0-0	1	1	1	0	4
Ivan Njegovan	C	14	2-3	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	0	4
Gabe Cupps	G	13	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	3	1	0	0
Puff Johnson	G	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Colin White	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.8Possessions65.8

106.4Offensive Efficiency100.3

100.3Defensive Efficiency106.4

6.1Net Efficiency-6.1

48.0%Effective FG%50.0%

53.7%True Shooting %51.3%

18.4%Turnover Rate12.1%

64.0%Free Throw Rate15.0%

36.0%3-Point Rate23.3%

0.75Assist / Turnover1.13

Game Summary

Virginia won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 65.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.