Sacramento State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

54.3%Sacramento State

45.7%Northern Arizona

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Arizona -0.5

PROJECTED TOTAL156.7

MODEL MONEYLINESacramento State -119

Northern Arizona

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSacramento State 78

Projected Total156.7

Projected ScoreNorthern Arizona 79

Team Comparison

Sacramento StateMetricNorthern Arizona

43MMH Power Index36.9

106.1Offensive Efficiency107.1

112.0Defensive Efficiency114.8

-5.9Net Efficiency-7.7

0.9Strength of Schedule-1.8

-7.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.5

73.2Tempo66.6

48.5%Effective FG%53.5%

14.2%Turnover Rate15.8%

25.1%Offensive Rebound %24.0%

41.8%Free Throw Rate33.6%

-4.3Average Margin-5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Sacramento State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSacramento State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (43.0–36.9), defensive efficiency (112.0–114.8), net efficiency (-5.9–-7.7), strength of schedule (0.9–-1.8).

Northern Arizona COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (107.1–106.1), shooting efficiency (53.5–48.5).

Final

Sacramento State

74—79

Northern Arizona

Northern Arizona by 5 • 71.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Sacramento StateTEAM STATNorthern Arizona

25-56FG25-51

45.0%FG%49.0%

4-213PT8-26

19.0%3PT%31.0%

20-26FT21-33

77.0%FT%64.0%

33Rebounds30

10Offensive Rebounds8

6Assists15

13Turnovers12

5Steals8

1Blocks2

22Fouls20

Player Box Score

Sacramento State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jahni Summers	G	39	7-16	2-9	2-2	5	0	2	0	18
Prophet Johnson	G	32	6-9	0-0	3-5	7	2	2	0	15
Shaqir O'Neal	F	21	3-4	1-1	8-11	4	0	0	0	15
Arman Madi	G	26	4-12	0-3	5-6	4	1	0	1	13
Jayden Teat	G	31	3-9	1-6	0-0	4	2	1	0	7
Mark Lavrenov	F	30	2-4	0-1	2-2	6	0	0	0	6
Taj Glover	G	21	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

Northern Arizona

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Diego Campisano	F	38	5-13	3-8	5-5	11	1	2	0	18
Karl Poom	F	22	6-10	0-2	5-10	4	2	1	0	17
Chris Komin	G	39	4-7	1-2	5-6	1	3	2	1	14
Brennan Peterson	G	31	2-5	2-5	5-6	2	3	0	0	11
Ryan Abelman	G	38	3-8	1-6	1-2	7	1	2	0	8
Traivar Jackson	F	17	3-4	0-0	0-2	3	1	0	0	6
Oakland Fort	G	15	2-4	1-3	0-2	2	4	1	1	5

Advanced Game Stats

71.1Possessions71.1

104.1Offensive Efficiency111.1

111.1Defensive Efficiency104.1

-7.0Net Efficiency7.0

48.2%Effective FG%56.9%

54.1%True Shooting %59.2%

18.2%Turnover Rate17.0%

46.4%Free Throw Rate64.7%

37.5%3-Point Rate51.0%

0.46Assist / Turnover1.25

Game Summary

Northern Arizona won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 71.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.