Middle Tennessee

17-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

29.8%Middle Tennessee

70.2%Western Kentucky

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWestern Kentucky -6.0

PROJECTED TOTAL154.2

MODEL MONEYLINEWestern Kentucky -236

Western Kentucky

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMiddle Tennessee 74

Projected Total154.2

Projected ScoreWestern Kentucky 80

Team Comparison

Middle TennesseeMetricWestern Kentucky

52.5MMH Power Index55.6

109.6Offensive Efficiency110.6

105.7Defensive Efficiency106.2

3.9Net Efficiency4.4

0.4Strength of Schedule1.7

3.2Last 10 Net Efficiency5.2

68.8Tempo71.7

52.2%Effective FG%48.6%

16.7%Turnover Rate14.5%

31.3%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

33.2%Free Throw Rate42.9%

2.7Average Margin3.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Western Kentucky HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWestern Kentucky holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.6–52.5), offensive efficiency (110.6–109.6), net efficiency (4.4–3.9), strength of schedule (1.7–0.4).

Middle Tennessee COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (105.7–106.2), shooting efficiency (52.2–48.6).

Final

Middle Tennessee

80—82

Western Kentucky

Western Kentucky by 2 • 70.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Middle TennesseeTEAM STATWestern Kentucky

32-66FG23-47

48.0%FG%49.0%

7-273PT8-22

26.0%3PT%36.0%

9-13FT28-32

69.0%FT%88.0%

35Rebounds29

13Offensive Rebounds6

14Assists13

12Turnovers14

6Steals5

4Blocks—

23Fouls17

Player Box Score

Middle Tennessee

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kamari Lands	G	34	8-16	4-9	0-0	5	3	1	0	20
Sean Smith	G	28	8-17	2-5	1-2	5	7	1	2	19
Torey Alston	F	20	4-8	0-1	2-3	3	0	0	0	10
Alec Oglesby	G	21	3-6	1-4	2-2	3	1	0	0	9
Luka Jovanovic	C	23	3-4	0-0	2-3	5	1	1	2	8
Chris Loofe	F	17	4-6	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	8
Tre Green	G	29	1-4	0-3	0-0	4	0	1	0	2
Marcus Whitlock Jr.	G	16	1-3	0-2	0-1	3	1	2	0	2
Jahvin Carter	G	12	0-2	0-1	2-2	1	0	0	0	2

Western Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Teagan Moore	G	26	6-10	3-4	13-15	5	0	1	28
Grant Newell	F	30	7-11	4-7	2-4	7	1	0	20
LJ Hackman	G	24	4-7	1-2	5-5	5	1	0	14
Terrion Murdix	G	32	3-6	0-0	0-0	3	7	4	6
Ryan Myers	G	24	1-7	0-6	4-4	1	2	0	6
Blaise Keita	F	18	1-2	0-0	2-2	5	0	0	4
Leeroy Odiahi	F	15	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	2
Cam Haffner	G	8	0-2	0-2	2-2	0	0	0	2
Kade Unseld	G	21	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0
Jack Edelen	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.7Possessions70.7

113.2Offensive Efficiency116.0

116.0Defensive Efficiency113.2

-2.8Net Efficiency2.8

53.8%Effective FG%57.4%

55.4%True Shooting %65.9%

16.9%Turnover Rate19.9%

19.7%Free Throw Rate68.1%

40.9%3-Point Rate46.8%

1.17Assist / Turnover0.93

Game Summary

Western Kentucky won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 70.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.