California Baptist

25-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

67.2%California Baptist

32.8%Utah Tech

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia Baptist -3.2

PROJECTED TOTAL146.9

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia Baptist -205

Utah Tech

19-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCalifornia Baptist 75

Projected Total146.9

Projected ScoreUtah Tech 72

Team Comparison

California BaptistMetricUtah Tech

58.3MMH Power Index47.3

106.5Offensive Efficiency108.8

99.0Defensive Efficiency106.1

7.5Net Efficiency2.7

1.8Strength of Schedule-2.3

11.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.0

68.2Tempo70.6

48.8%Effective FG%54.4%

17.9%Turnover Rate17.5%

37.0%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

37.0%Free Throw Rate32.8%

5.1Average Margin1.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California Baptist HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia Baptist holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.3–47.3), defensive efficiency (99.0–106.1), net efficiency (7.5–2.7), strength of schedule (1.8–-2.3).

Utah Tech COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (108.8–106.5), shooting efficiency (54.4–48.8), ball security (17.5–17.9).

Final

California Baptist

65—70

Utah Tech

Utah Tech by 5 • 64.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

California BaptistTEAM STATUtah Tech

20-70FG25-58

29.0%FG%43.0%

12-353PT9-19

34.0%3PT%47.0%

13-22FT11-17

59.0%FT%65.0%

49Rebounds42

21Offensive Rebounds9

8Assists16

5Turnovers7

2Steals2

5Blocks1

16Fouls17

Player Box Score

California Baptist

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dominique Daniels Jr.	G	40	10-24	5-13	4-6	3	2	0	0	29
Jayden Jackson	G	34	6-18	6-12	2-2	6	1	1	2	20
Martel Williams	G	36	1-12	1-7	3-4	8	3	1	0	6
Jonathan Griman	F	31	1-5	0-0	4-9	15	0	0	2	6
Bradey Henige	F	21	1-4	0-0	0-1	6	0	0	1	2
Devon Malcolm	F	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Jordan Muller	G	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Rene D'Amelio	F	8	0-3	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Thomas Ndong	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Miles Daniels	G	6	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Nate Garcia	C	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Utah Tech

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Noah Bolanga	G	36	7-13	4-6	0-3	8	2	1	0	18
Ethan Potter	F	29	3-8	0-0	5-6	11	3	0	0	11
Dario Domingos	F	11	5-10	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	0	11
Jusaun Holt	G	31	2-9	0-3	5-6	8	4	1	1	9
Britton Berrett	G	30	2-5	2-5	0-0	3	4	0	0	6
Chance Trujillo	G	30	2-5	2-2	0-0	3	3	0	0	6
Tanner Davis	G	21	2-5	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	5
Samuel Ariyibi	F	12	2-3	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	4

Advanced Game Stats

64.3Possessions64.3

101.1Offensive Efficiency108.9

108.9Defensive Efficiency101.1

-7.8Net Efficiency7.8

37.1%Effective FG%50.9%

40.4%True Shooting %53.0%

7.8%Turnover Rate10.9%

31.4%Free Throw Rate29.3%

50.0%3-Point Rate32.8%

1.60Assist / Turnover2.29

Game Summary

Utah Tech won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 64.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.