Cal State Fullerton

18-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

18.1%Cal State Fullerton

81.9%UC Irvine

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Irvine -11.5

PROJECTED TOTAL158.5

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Irvine -452

UC Irvine

23-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Fullerton 74

Projected Total158.5

Projected ScoreUC Irvine 85

Team Comparison

Cal State FullertonMetricUC Irvine

49.4MMH Power Index58.4

108.8Offensive Efficiency106.9

107.1Defensive Efficiency95.0

1.7Net Efficiency11.9

-1.2Strength of Schedule-1.0

2.7Last 10 Net Efficiency10.0

76.3Tempo72.3

52.6%Effective FG%50.7%

15.1%Turnover Rate17.6%

25.5%Offensive Rebound %33.1%

39.6%Free Throw Rate36.5%

1.3Average Margin8.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Irvine HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Irvine holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.4–49.4), defensive efficiency (95.0–107.1), net efficiency (11.9–1.7), strength of schedule (-1.0–-1.2).

Cal State Fullerton COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (108.8–106.9), shooting efficiency (52.6–50.7), ball security (15.1–17.6).

Final

Cal State Fullerton

65—86

UC Irvine

UC Irvine by 21 • 73.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State FullertonTEAM STATUC Irvine

25-67FG35-61

37.0%FG%57.0%

10-323PT10-24

31.0%3PT%42.0%

5-9FT6-10

56.0%FT%60.0%

27Rebounds42

9Offensive Rebounds7

18Assists21

11Turnovers15

9Steals6

5Blocks3

13Fouls16

Player Box Score

Cal State Fullerton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Landon Seaman	F	22	5-12	4-10	0-0	2	4	0	2	14
Bryce Cofield	G	23	5-13	0-1	1-2	6	2	0	2	11
Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro	G	23	2-5	2-4	2-2	3	1	0	0	8
KJ Garris	G	19	4-6	0-0	0-2	5	1	1	0	8
Christian Williams	G	27	2-4	1-2	2-2	4	5	3	0	7
Joshua Ward	G	24	2-10	1-4	0-0	2	2	2	1	5
Kendrick De Luna	F	11	2-4	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Davis White	G	15	1-4	1-4	0-0	0	1	1	0	3
Matthew Quinlan	G	1	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Jaden Henderson	G	8	1-3	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Bailey Nunn	G	23	0-4	0-3	0-0	1	1	2	0	0
Ben Winker	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-1	1	0	0	0	0

UC Irvine

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Andre Henry	G	24	8-8	3-3	0-0	3	0	1	0	19
Harrison Carrington	F	22	7-10	1-1	3-5	6	0	1	0	18
Jurian Dixon	G	29	5-13	3-10	2-2	3	5	0	0	15
Derin Saran	G	24	5-12	2-6	0-0	4	2	1	0	12
Kyle Evans	F	32	5-6	0-0	0-0	11	1	0	3	10
Jovan Jester Jr.	G	15	2-5	1-3	0-0	5	3	1	0	5
Tama Isaac	G	29	2-4	0-1	0-1	1	8	1	0	4
Akiva McBirney-Griffin	F	16	1-2	0-0	1-2	4	2	1	0	3
Nes Emeneke	F	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Ben Egbo	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Tishan Ahir	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.6Possessions73.6

88.3Offensive Efficiency116.8

116.8Defensive Efficiency88.3

-28.5Net Efficiency28.5

44.8%Effective FG%65.6%

45.6%True Shooting %65.4%

15.0%Turnover Rate20.3%

13.4%Free Throw Rate16.4%

47.8%3-Point Rate39.3%

1.64Assist / Turnover1.40

Game Summary

UC Irvine won by 21 points. The game played at approximately 73.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.