Indiana State

11-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

24.6%Indiana State

75.4%Valparaiso

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADValparaiso -7.3

PROJECTED TOTAL146.7

MODEL MONEYLINEValparaiso -307

Valparaiso

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIndiana State 70

Projected Total146.7

Projected ScoreValparaiso 77

Team Comparison

Indiana StateMetricValparaiso

44.4MMH Power Index49.9

104.7Offensive Efficiency106.6

106.0Defensive Efficiency105.8

-1.3Net Efficiency0.8

0.1Strength of Schedule0.3

-5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

70.3Tempo67.5

53.6%Effective FG%48.7%

19.5%Turnover Rate15.6%

27.3%Offensive Rebound %32.4%

28.8%Free Throw Rate40.0%

-0.9Average Margin0.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Valparaiso HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMValparaiso holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.9–44.4), offensive efficiency (106.6–104.7), defensive efficiency (105.8–106.0), net efficiency (0.8–-1.3).

Indiana State COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (53.6–48.7).

Final

Indiana State

75—76

Valparaiso

Valparaiso by 1 • 61.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Indiana StateTEAM STATValparaiso

31-57FG29-56

54.0%FG%52.0%

4-153PT8-19

27.0%3PT%42.0%

9-13FT10-21

69.0%FT%48.0%

28Rebounds32

9Offensive Rebounds15

17Assists16

8Turnovers9

2Steals2

3Blocks4

16Fouls14

Player Box Score

Indiana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sterling Young	G	29	6-11	1-4	3-3	4	1	1	0	16
Xavier Hall	G	34	5-9	1-2	3-4	1	5	0	0	14
Ian Scott	F	32	6-10	0-1	1-4	8	5	0	0	13
Markus Harding	C	23	5-7	1-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	11
Bruno Alocen	G	36	4-8	1-3	1-1	4	3	0	0	10
Camp Wagner	G	15	2-5	0-3	1-1	1	1	0	0	5
Enel St. Bernard	F	23	2-5	0-0	0-0	6	1	0	3	4
Cooper Bean	G	6	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	2
Hunter Harding	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Valparaiso

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brody Whitaker	G	30	8-14	5-8	0-0	3	4	1	0	21
JT Pettigrew	F	34	5-12	0-1	4-5	8	6	0	1	14
Owen Dease	F	29	4-9	1-4	4-5	2	0	0	0	13
Justus McNair	G	19	5-7	2-3	0-1	0	2	0	0	12
Shon Tupuola	C	26	3-6	0-0	1-2	7	0	0	2	7
Carter Hopoi	F	14	3-3	0-0	1-8	2	0	0	1	7
Sader Servilus	G	6	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Rakim Chaney	G	28	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	4	0	0	0
Kyonte Thomas	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Isaiah Barnes	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Mark Brown Jr.	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.1Possessions61.1

122.7Offensive Efficiency124.4

124.4Defensive Efficiency122.7

-1.6Net Efficiency1.6

57.9%Effective FG%58.9%

59.4%True Shooting %57.6%

12.9%Turnover Rate15.0%

22.8%Free Throw Rate37.5%

26.3%3-Point Rate33.9%

2.13Assist / Turnover1.78

Game Summary

Valparaiso won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 61.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.